Machine learning research across this collection clusters around three interconnected challenges: bridging the gap between controlled experimental settings and real-world deployment, managing computational efficiency under heterogeneity and scale constraints, and extracting reliable decision signals from limited or biased data. Federated learning papers address statistical and system heterogeneity through knowledge distillation, personalized aggregation, and architecture search, while simultaneously tackling communication overhead and device constraints; clinical deployments reveal that calibration and uncertainty quantification degrade sharply under distribution shift, and that near-perfect internal metrics mask deployment failure. Efficiency gains emerge through multiple mechanisms: low-rank approximations and structured pruning in neural networks, variance reduction in Monte Carlo estimation, and rank-1 trajectory extrapolation in reinforcement learning from verifiable rewards all exploit latent structure to compress computation. A parallel thread emphasizes interpretability and bias mitigation in high-stakes domains, with rubric embeddings, contact-explicit CDR design, and preference-aware data selection replacing opaque learned representations with semantically grounded features or human-aligned weighting schemes. Theoretical work on approximation rates, multiclass linear classification, and transport map regularity formalizes when and why structured inductive biases (depth, sheaf geometry, physics residuals) improve sample efficiency and generalization. The research reflects a maturation beyond raw scale: careful experimental design, external validation, and mechanistic understanding now distinguish contributions, while deployment readiness frameworks and audit schemas expose reproducibility gaps that leaderboard positions obscure.
Cole Brennan
Showing of papers
A linear probe can decode a representation almost perfectly and yet be completely irrelevant to how the model uses it. On calendar-date duration reasoning in language models, a $\sin$/$\cos$ probe recovers day-of-year from a layer's activations, yet ablating its direction has no effect on the model's answers -- while ablating a four-dimensional subspace found by Distributed Alignment Search (DAS) at the same layer collapses performance entirely. We measure the angle between these two subspaces -- the \emph{readout-mediator angle} -- and find it indistinguishable from the angle between two random subspaces (the Haar-uniform null), meaning the probe has learned a direction orthogonal to the model's actual computation. Reverse-engineering the circuit reveals why: attention heads route month-grained context through learned QK offsets at ${\pm}30$ and ${\pm}61$ days, and MLPs then convert \emph{when} (absolute date) into \emph{how long} (duration) -- all downstream of the causal subspace the probe never touches. Sparse-autoencoder decomposition confirms the split: probe-aligned and DAS-aligned features encode semantically disjoint concepts with negligible causal overlap. The dissociation replicates across four scales ($1.5$-$9\,$B) and two model families, with preliminary evidence on two further domains (spatial displacement, symbolic arithmetic), suggesting that readout-mediator orthogonality is a general failure mode of probe-based interpretability. This directly undermines proposals to deploy probes as runtime safety monitors: the probe can report high confidence on a direction the model has silently abandoned.
The wide adoption of LLMs has led to their use in great variety of applications and scenarios, such as chatbot assistants and data annotation, creating the need for the models to satisfy certain budget and hardware constraints. This has led to the trend of LLMs being released in batches consisting of similar models of various sizes for the family of models to adhere to as wide of a range of constraints as possible. In this paper, we validate distillation and quantization as a cost-effective way to expand model families to new sizes and hardware formats. Based on the open-recipe Apertus 8B LLM, we produce Apertus-v1.1 - a distilled family of models with up to 4B parameters trained on 1.7T permissive license tokens. We demonstrate cost-efficiency and strong accuracy performance of our approach for covering large ranges of hardware and systems requirements.
We study stochastic decision-theoretic online learning with full information and event-level pure differential privacy. A COLT open problem of Hu and Mehta asks to determine the optimal gap-dependent regret rate for stochastic decision-theoretic online learning under pure event-level differential privacy. For $K$ actions, losses in $[0,1]$, and a unique best action separated from the second-best action by gap $Δ_{\min}$, the known lower bound is of order $ \frac{\log K}{\min\{Δ_{\min},\varepsilon\}}, $ or equivalently, up to universal constants, of order \[ \frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}. \] We give a horizon-free pure-DP algorithm and prove the explicit regret bound \[ \operatorname{Reg}_T \le 1000 \cdot \left(\frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}\right) \] for every horizon $T$. The numerical constant is not optimized. The algorithm partitions time into blocks of exponentially increasing size, plays a single action throughout each block, and chooses the next action by an exponential mechanism applied to a data-independent random prefix of the previous block. The random prefix converts block regret into a sum, over all prefix lengths, of softmax selection errors. A single entropy-potential argument controls all privacy-dominated large-gap actions at cost $\log K/\varepsilon$.
Randomly initialized neural networks induce a prior over functions, but the predictor used in practice is produced only after training. We ask how much of this initial bias survives the training pipeline. To make the question measurable, we introduce initialization memory: the dependence of the validation-selected predictor on the scale of the random initialization. We perform controlled CIFAR-10 experiments on ResNets where initialization memory already sharply separates training regimes. Low-learning-rate SGD can interpolate while still remembering its initialization: on ResNet-9 with batch size $b=128$, test accuracy varies by $26.5$ percentage points across initialization scales despite $\ge99.5\%$ training accuracy. This is not undertraining: extending the same low-learning-rate regime to $5{,}000$ epochs leaves the spread essentially unchanged. In contrast, Adam-family methods largely erase the dependence. SGD can also be made to forget when larger learning rates are paired with explicit $L_2$ norm control. We interpret these findings in terms of the time scale of forgetting: gradient-flow-like dynamics can preserve initialization memory, whereas stochastic finite-step effects, explicit norm decay, and adaptive preconditioning erase it on scales governed by the size of explicit or implicit regularization. The practical inductive bias of a trained network is therefore not the architectural prior alone, but the architectural prior after being filtered by the forgetting dynamics of the training pipeline; and the same regularizers that improve generalization are precisely those that erase memory of initialization.
Neural networks trained under different hyperparameter settings can fall into distinct training "regimes," with consistent behavior within regimes and qualitative differences across regimes. In this paper, we study such multi-regime behavior in scientific machine learning (SciML) models through a regime-aware diagnostic framework that jointly analyzes performance, training dynamics, and loss-landscape geometry. We identify three key findings: (i) a consistent three-regime structure emerges across many standard SciML models, different constraint enforcements, and various optimizer designs; (ii) optimization effectiveness is regime-specific, with no single method performing well across all regimes; and (iii) SciML models can exhibit fine-grained failure modes that can challenge conventional interpretations of standard loss-landscape metrics. Our results provide an approach to establish a unified, task-oblivious perspective on failure modes in SciML and to inform regime-aware guidance for improving robustness. We validate these findings across widely-used SciML models, including physics-informed neural networks, neural operators, and neural ordinary differential equations, on benchmarks spanning representative ordinary and partial differential equations.
Pointwise reward modeling offers critical signals for LLM post-training, yet struggles with absolute scoring in subjective, non-verifiable settings. Rubric-based methods address this by decomposing evaluation into explicit criteria, but existing approaches typically depend on frontier LLMs and suffer from ties caused by hard Boolean aggregation. We present RUBRIC-ARROW, an alternating framework that jointly trains a rubric generator and a rubric-conditioned judge, with its RL stage using only pairwise preference data. Our method couples a probability-based scoring rule that reduces ties with phase-specific preference-based rewards and an alternating GRPO scheme that together train the pointwise evaluator. Extensive experiments show that RUBRIC-ARROW achieves competitive reward-modeling accuracy and yields consistent gains for downstream policy post-training.
Large Language Models (LLMs) have become the central paradigm in artificial intelligence, yet the core computational primitive of attention has remained structurally unchanged. Local Linear Attention (LLA) is an attention mechanism derived from nonparametric statistics in the test-time regression framework. In contrast to prior research on efficient attention variants, LLA upgrades the local constant estimate in softmax attention to a local linear estimate, yielding provably superior bias-variance tradeoffs for associative memory. However, LLA has not been scaled in LLM pretraining due to computational and numerical stability concerns. We introduce Parallax, a parameterized Local Linear Attention that is scalable for LLMs. Parallax eliminates the numerical solver in LLA and learns an extra query-like projector that probes the KV covariance. We place Parallax within a family of attention mechanisms connected by the bandwidth, the probe construction and the affine structure. We propose a hardware-aware algorithm that increases the arithmetic intensity over FlashAttention, shifting attention into a more compute bound regime. Our prototype decode kernel matches or outperforms FlashAttention 2/3 across diverse batch sizes and context lengths. We pretrain Parallax at 0.6B and 1.7B scales and find consistent perplexity improvements throughout pretraining with gains that transfer to downstream benchmarks. The advantage persists under both parameter-matched and compute-matched controls, demonstrating a Pareto improvement. We perform careful pretraining ablations and identify a novel phenomenon whereby Muon unlocks the capacity of Parallax. To our knowledge, this is the first empirical demonstration of strong architecture-optimizer codesign for attention mechanisms in the architecture research literature.
Protein homology search underlies function annotation, structure prediction, and evolutionary analysis, but remains challenging in the "twilight zone," where global sequence similarity is weak and classical alignment methods lose sensitivity. Protein language models provide context-aware representations that could improve alignment sensitivity in this regime. However, prior protein embedding-based retrieval pipelines often pool these representations into a single vector, potentially obscuring local motifs, domains, or conserved residues that reveal remote homology. We introduce ProtoCol, a model which represents proteins as sets of residue embeddings and uses ColBERT-style late interaction to test whether residue-level comparison improves homolog retrieval. ProtoCol encodes proteins independently, keeps candidate representations pre-computable, and scores candidates with MaxSim over residue embeddings. On SCOPe superfamily and Pfam clan benchmarks, ProtoCol outperforms sequence-composition, alignment-based, pooled PLM, and trained single-vector baselines, supporting late interaction as an effective retrieval layer for remote homology search.
Generating realistic graph-structured data is challenging due to discrete connectivity, varying graph sizes, and class-specific structural patterns. Recent Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN)-based graph generation methods improve edge modelling by learning connectivity and matching class-specific density distributions. However these models still exhibit noticeable deviations such as in degree and spectral distribution when compared to real graphs, indicating that important structural properties are not fully preserved. This work aims to reduce these deviations by refining the graphs produced by an existing GAN-based graph generator framework with a Genetic Algorithm (GA). In the GAN framework, the generator produces both node features and connectivity patterns, while a GNN-based critic evaluates graph realism and class consistency to ensure global structural and class alignment. Building on this foundation, we apply a GA to refine the edges of generated graphs. The refinement process guides synthetic graphs toward closer agreement with real data, while preserving diversity and novelty. Experimental results show that the GA refinement consistently lowers combined Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) compared to the base model, leading to graphs that more closely match real structural patterns. This demonstrates that evolutionary refinement is an effective and flexible way to correct residual structural deviations in GAN-based graph generators, improving their suitability for realistic graph synthesis and data augmentation.
Seasonal climate predictions support planning and risk management by offering early information of the most likely-to-occur climate conditions in the coming months, and associated uncertainties. Ensemble forecasts enable this by simulating many plausible outcomes, allowing predictions to be expressed as usable probabilities. Large ensembles and high-resolution forecasts strengthen this guidance by better sampling uncertainty and capturing finer-scale processes but come with significant computational cost. Moreover, forecast ensembles drift and exhibit systematic biases and spatio-temporal errors that grow with lead time, requiring careful post-processing and calibration. A probabilistic post-processing framework based on conditional Variational Autoencoders (cVAEs) was developed at the Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis to generate large ensembles of bias adjusted seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice. The generative model was designed to learn the observational distribution conditioned on the biased model prediction. This enables generation of arbitrarily large ensembles of well-calibrated, bias corrected forecasts with improved skill. Here, we extend this framework to address the loss of fine-scale energy and the characteristic blurriness in predictions, a known limitation of standard cVAEs. Specifically, we employ a generator in place of the Gaussian parametrized decoder in the cVAE and use Continuous Ranked Probability Score in the objective function instead of the Mean Square Error. We further use a higher resolution target dataset compared to the raw forecast. We show that the adjusted forecasts are better calibrated, more consistent with the observational distribution, and exhibit smaller errors than benchmark predictions, while also enhancing the resolution of the raw forecasts and improving sharpness and spectral power relative to the standard cVAE.
As machine learning(ML) systems evolve to continual adaptation, each re-training cycle uses compute, annotation, and energy. We introduce TIMEGATE, a policy layer managing adaptation by budgeting time, labeling, training, and evaluation. TIMEGATE emits a metric-availability signal M for partial vs. full-evaluation decisions. We validate: (i) labeling outperforms training by 2.3x on Adult tabular; (ii) it transfers to LLaMA-3.1-8B + QLoRA on SST-2 (accuracy 0.80 to 0.96; M =1 in 35/36 runs); (iii) M is informative, 28-cell sensitivity shows M drops to 0.81 at tight thresholds; (iv) 100-cycle simulation achieves 66% evaluation-compute savings with no silent mis-promotions; (v) 10%-slice evaluation on LLaMA uses 89% less wall-clock and energy on a single H200 (ratios agree to 0.2%).
Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a promising avenue for scientific discovery, yet their application to symbolic regression is often constrained by inefficient search strategies and coarse feedback signals. Current methods typically guide LLMs using scalar metrics (e.g., global Mean Squared Error), which fail to identify which components of a proposed equation are driving performance or causing error. We introduce \textit{Influence-Guided Symbolic Regression} (IGSR), a method that frames equation discovery as an iterative two-step process combining diverse term generation with rigorous selection: an LLM generates candidate basis functions $ψ_j(\mathbf{x})$ for a linear model, which are then evaluated using granular influence scores $Δ_j$. These scores quantify each term's marginal contribution to generalization accuracy, enabling an influence-guided pruning process that systematically refines the model structure. Integrating this mechanism into a Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) enables navigating the combinatorial search space while balancing exploration of novel functional forms with exploitation of high-influence components. We demonstrate IGSR's effectiveness on a diverse suite of benchmarks, including LLM-SRBench, pharmacological PKPD models, an epidemiological simulation, and real-world genomic data. Notably, we validate the framework's capacity for genuine discovery in a case study using a high-dimensional biological dataset, in which IGSR identified a novel relationship between DNA methylation and RNA Polymerase II pausing; a hypothesis that was subsequently supported via wet-lab experimentation.
Reinforcement learning using verifiable rewards (RLVR) improves LLM reasoning, but the conditions under which it transfers across domains -- and why it does so -- remain under-explored. We study cross-domain transfer in a 7B model whose SFT and RL post-training stages use only constraint-satisfaction puzzles, with no mathematics problems in the post-training data. To analyze how transfer emerges, we introduce a reasoning primitive-level framework that combines a 9-class span classifier with motif extraction, allowing us to segment chain-of-thought traces into primitive motifs and track their evolution across training stages and domains. We find that puzzle SFT induces a reasoning-primitive vocabulary, yielding a $+7$pp \texttt{pass@32} gain on OlymMATH-Hard. Vanilla GSPO then composes these primitives into longer compute-verify chains, adding a further $+6$pp. However, this RL stage also suppresses exploratory primitives such as \textit{hypothesize} and \textit{backtrack}. To address this, we introduce a novelty bonus that rewards diverse correct rollouts, using perplexity under the reference model as a signal. This restores recovery primitives during RL and adds a further $+7$pp \texttt{pass@32} relative to vanilla GSPO. Finally, the end-to-end recipe raises the hard-math capability ceiling from $16.0\%$ at the OLMo3-7B-Instruct-SFT base to $36.0\%$, without adding any mathematics problems during the SFT or RL stages.
Many stochastic physical systems evolve smoothly over time in the sense that the distribution of states changes regularly across time steps. The transition from current state to the next state can often be modeled as the combination of a smooth map and an explicit source of randomness. Stochastic Lifting exploits this structure by attaching an independent, high-dimensional random label to each state transition in the training data and fitting a transition map from the current state and label to the next state using a standard regression loss. The labels act as auxiliary coordinates that let the model represent multiple plausible next states from similar current states, avoiding collapse to a mean prediction in the finite-sample size regime. At inference, fresh labels are sampled at each time step and the learned map is rolled forward autoregressively, generating diverse trajectories with a single network evaluation per time step.
Recent advances in text-to-music generation enable high-fidelity synthesis of structured musical audio, raising growing concerns about data provenance, consent, and training transparency. These models are typically trained on large-scale corpora with little disclosure, leaving no practical mechanism to verify whether a particular audio sample was included in training. In this paper, we investigate black-box membership inference for generative music models, aiming to determine whether a candidate music sample was used during training, given only query access to the deployed system. Our key insight is that training membership induces systematically stronger semantic and structural alignment between a candidate sample and the model's generation conditioned on its caption. We query the target model with the associated caption and measure the relationship between the candidate audio and the generated output in a learned feature space. To capture features that separate members from non-members, we construct paired examples consisting of each track and its caption-conditioned generation from shadow models, and train a music auditor to classify membership. The auditor captures alignment patterns characteristic of training membership and generalizes to unseen target models in a fully black-box setting without access to model parameters or training metadata. Across multiple state-of-the-art music generators, our method achieves up to 98.6% accuracy, with false-positive and false-negative rates as low as 1.9% and 1.0%, demonstrating that reliable training-data auditing is feasible in realistic deployment scenarios.
The parameter counts of the most widely used large language models (LLMs) are often withheld by their developers, leaving model size -- a primary reference point for interpreting capabilities and costs -- largely undisclosed. We propose a black-box method to infer conservative lower bounds on LLM size from generated text outputs alone, requiring nothing beyond the ability to submit text fragments and observe next-token predictions. Our approach is grounded in a key observation: popular, widely-circulated texts -- such as classical literature, religious texts, and foundational documents -- are present in virtually every large-scale pretraining corpus, and how accurately a model predicts the next word across text fragments of varying length is a reliable signal of how much it has memorized them, which in turn is fundamentally limited by its total parameter count. We aggregate this memorization signal across a diverse corpus of texts and fragment lengths into a single accuracy profile vector per model, and build two complementary inference methods on top of it: a pairwise statistical test that determines which of two models is larger, and a scaling-law estimator that extracts a one-dimensional latent index from these vectors via Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to map the aggregated signal to a parameter count. Validated on a broad set of open-weight models, both methods produce accurate and reliable lower bounds. When applied to popular closed-weight models, our framework recovers internal product hierarchies and reveals a clear divergence in industry scaling strategies: while some developers yield significantly higher bounds indicative of large generational parameter growth, others operate under strict parameter ceilings, demonstrating that hidden design choices can be systematically probed even under strict API limitations.
Protein structure classification (PSC) uses supervised learning to predict a protein's CATH/SCOP(e) class from the protein's sequence or 3D structural feature(s). We already modeled 3D structures as (static) protein structure networks (PSNs), demonstrating the competitiveness of PSN-based features to sequence or direct (i.e. non-network) 3D structural features in the PSC task. More recently, we demonstrated the power of features extracted from dynamic PSNs over features extracted from static PSNs (and thus by transitivity over sequence and direct 3D structural features) in the same task. That dynamic PSN approach used traditional machine learning (ML), combining manual (pre-engineered) features with an off-the-shelf classifier. Here, we evaluate whether automatic deep learning (DL) from the dynamic PSNs yields improvements. Our evaluation on 72 datasets spanning ~44,000 CATH- or SCOPe-labeled dynamic PSNs reveals that in terms of PSC accuracy, traditional ML and DL are (close to) tied for a large majority of the datasets, while DL is on average 10+ times slower. We are the first to evaluate traditional ML vs. DL in the dynamic PSN-based PSC task.
Diffusion language models (dLLMs) generate text by iteratively denoising multiple token positions in parallel, offering an attractive alternative to strictly autoregressive decoding. In practice, however, block-wise dLLM inference exposes a difficult granularity trade-off: small blocks preserve local conditioning but require many denoising steps, whereas large blocks expose more parallelism but can make premature commitments and accumulate cache error. Existing acceleration methods typically choose a single block size per request, leaving the complementarity among block sizes unused. We show that block size itself is a useful branching dimension. Different block sizes induce related but non-identical KV-cache trajectories: branches often share an initial prefix, bifurcate at semantically decisive positions, and later agree on syntactically lightweight tokens. Motivated by this structure, we propose BlockBatch, a training-free online inference framework that executes multiple block-size branches for the same request inside a batched forward pass. BlockBatch coordinates these branches through confidence-gated token merging, leader-based synchronization, and periodic full-sequence refreshes that re-anchor local block updates to a globally consistent KV state. Across 3 representative dLLMs and 4 datasets, BlockBatch reduces denoising NFEs by 26.6\% on average and achieves a 1.33$\times$ average end-to-end speedup over Fast-dLLM while preserving accuracy. These results identify block-size diversity as a practical and previously underexplored axis for branch-parallel dLLM inference.
Alarm fatigue in intensive care units (ICUs) is a well documented patient safety crisis. Clinical monitors generate 350 or more alarms per patient per day, out of which 72-99% are clinically irrelevant. Staff desensitization to non-actionable alarms increases the risk of missed true emergencies. This paper presents SigmaMedStat, a machine learning system that evaluates the trustworthiness of physiological alarm signals before clinical action is taken. Four approaches were evaluated on the PhysioNet/Computing in Cardiology Challenge 2015 dataset of 498 four-channel ICU alarm recordings. Primary contribution is a temporal modeling framework that splits each 60 second recording into six consecutive 10-second chunks, and this in turn generates Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) scalograms per chunk, encodes each chunk with a shared EfficientNet-B0 encoder, and passes the resulting feature sequence to a two-layer Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. Five-fold stratified cross-validation yields a mean AUC of 0.822 +/- 0.016 (95% CI: [0.790,0.853]), compared to 0.641 for a static EfficientNet baseline trained on the full 60-second window. Ablation studies confirm that temporal chunking and multi-channel signal fusion both contribute independently to classification performance. Per-alarm type analysis reveals that Ventricular Flutter is the most accurately classified alarm type (AUC 0.820) while Asystole remains the hardest (AUC 0.722). Error analysis identifies 65 false negatives and 85 high-confidence misclassifications as the primary failure modes. All code and results are publicly available at https://github.com/Arun-K-Ram/sigmamedstat.
Given the wide range of deployment targets, flexible model selection is essential for optimizing performance within a given compute budget. Recent work demonstrates that stitching pretrained models within a model family enables cost-effective interpolation of the accuracy-efficiency tradeoff space. Stitching transforms intermediate activations from one pretrained model into another, producing a new interpolated stitched network. Such networks provide a pool of deployment options along the accuracy-efficiency spectrum. However, existing stitching approaches often yield suboptimal tradeoffs and lack generalizability, as they primarily rely on heuristics to select stitch configurations. We argue that constructing improved accuracy-efficiency tradeoffs requires explicitly capturing and leveraging the similarity between pretrained models being stitched. To this end, we introduce KLAS, a novel stitch selection framework that automates and generalizes stitch selection across model families by leveraging KL divergence between intermediate representations. KLAS identifies the most promising binary stitches from the $O(k^2n^2)$ possibilities for $k$ pretrained models of depth $n$. Through comprehensive experiments, we demonstrate that KLAS improves the accuracy-efficiency curve of stitched models at the same finetuning cost as baselines. KLAS achieves up to $1.21\%$ higher ImageNet-1K top-1 accuracy at the same computational cost, or maintains accuracy with a $1.33\times$ reduction in FLOPs.
Low-channel wearable electroencephalography (EEG) is attractive for long-term monitoring, but four frontal electrodes provide only a sparse and spatially biased view of distributed scalp activity. We present FAVC-Net, a compact frequency-calibrated virtual-channel network that generates 13 unmeasured EEG channels from Fp1, Fp2, F7, and F8. The model combines shared multi-scale source encoding, source-state embeddings, target-conditioned signed source-block mixing, GATv2-based attention refinement, attention-consistent skip fusion, and weak Welch power spectral density calibration. Rather than treating sparse-to-dense EEG generation as a purely waveform-matching task, the framework jointly emphasizes amplitude fidelity, spectral allocation, channel-frequency texture, and robustness to corrupted wearable inputs. On the PRED+CT dataset, FAVC-Net achieved the best joint waveform-spectral operating point among neural and interpolation baselines. Its time-domain gains were modest, whereas log-spectral distance and PSD KL divergence were reduced by 30.09% and 37.98% relative to the strongest non-FAVC comparator. Under wearable-like source perturbations, the model preserved spectral fidelity and resisted spectral collapse. These results support virtual EEG channel generation as a dual-domain augmentation problem, while emphasizing that generated posterior and parietal channels should be interpreted as frequency-calibrated representations derived from sparse frontal measurements rather than as independent physical recordings.
Fraud detection models in payment networks train on chargeback labels that are systematically biased. Every label must survive three sequential gates: authorization (declined transactions generate no labels), issuer reporting (unreported fraud is invisible), and delay (pending chargebacks are missing at training time). Labels that do arrive may be corrupted by first-party misuse or issuer misclassification. A companion paper [arXiv:2605.27557] proved that these four impairments impose a minimax lower bound on detection performance. This paper asks: can that bound be achieved? We formalize the observation pipeline as a sequential missing-data problem with three propensity stages and a corruption layer, and construct the Sequential Triply Robust (STR) estimator. The STR corrects for all four impairments simultaneously and achieves the semiparametric efficiency bound -- no estimator can have lower asymptotic variance. It is sequentially triply robust: at each gate, consistency requires only that either the propensity model or the outcome regression is correctly specified, not both. We provide corruption correction via noise-rate-adjusted pseudo-labels, empirical Bayes shrinkage to stabilize inverse-propensity weights for small issuers, a plug-in variance estimator yielding valid confidence intervals, and a Bernstein concentration inequality for finite-sample guarantees. On the operational side, we derive the optimal training delay -- the maturity window that minimizes the sum of label-quality loss and model staleness -- and prove that the STR permits training on data that is days old rather than months old, decoupling model freshness from the chargeback maturity cycle. The STR provably dominates naive chargeback-based training in mean squared error for any sample size.
A crucial component of machine learning algorithms is minimizing loss functions with less computational cost and less oscillations. While adaptive learning rate-based optimizers have been widely used for real-world tasks, they do not guarantee convergence, which is why AMSGrad was later introduced to investigate the non-convergence behaviour of Adam. In this paper, popular adaptive optimization methods like Adam and AMSGrad are critically reviewed with an emphasis on their fundamental design concepts. To address limitations of the above mentioned optimizers, a new optimizer variant, C-Adam, is proposed based on the line of sight approach. A theoretical proof for convergence is also provided and the optimizer is validated through a number of real-life based numerical experiments.
Knowledge distillation (KD) transfers a single scalar prediction from a large foundation model (FM) to compact vertical models (VMs), suffering from diminishing transfer ratio -- the fraction of FM improvement captured by the VM -- as a single scalar cannot convey the rich intermediate knowledge that larger FMs learn. To address this bottleneck, we propose LoopFM (Learning frOm HistOrical ReP*resentations of FM), a framework that opens a high-bandwidth transfer channel by structuring FM intermediate embeddings as input features (e.g., user history sequence) for downstream VMs, without requiring real-time FM inference at serving and architectural coupling between FM and VM. We provide a theoretical framework for LoopFM with a gain decomposition and transfer-ratio analysis. On three public benchmarks, LoopFM demonstrates strong AUC improvements (e.g., 6\%+ on TaobaoAd) and complementary knowledge transfer capability with KD. On industrial-scale systems (billions of examples, trillion-parameter FMs), LoopFM approximately doubles the knowledge transfer ratio on top of KD, delivering a +0.5\% conversion improvement in Y1H1, and a +1.03\% and +1.22\% conversion improvement from two individual launches respectively in Y1H2.
Recent physics foundation models claim general spatiotemporal forecasting ability, yet their evaluations often collapse performance into a single average score under a fixed training distribution. This makes it difficult to determine whether a model has learned generalizable physical dynamics or only performs well under particular settings. We construct a benchmark with 8 physical dynamics, 3 training-data mixtures, and 25 test regimes induced by dynamic-scale and initial-condition complexity shifts, covering in-distribution, distribution-shift, and out-of-distribution settings. We evaluate five physics foundation model architectures and four model variants per architecture (scratch and three pretrained sizes), resulting in 60,000 measurements. Our results show that current physics foundation models behave as conditional rather than universal generalists: their generality depends on the physical regime, temporal scale, initial-condition setting, pretraining, model size, and architecture. Improving the training data distribution only partially mitigates this limitation. Pretraining and scaling are also unable to reliably remove their ability biases. We argue that improving physics foundation models requires moving beyond scaling models or expanding data, toward learning mechanisms that better capture transferable physical knowledge across regimes, temporal scales, and distribution shifts.
High-density electromyography (HD-EMG) has emerged as a powerful modality for decoding fine-grained neuromuscular activity, enabling real-time neural-machine interfaces (NMIs) for applications such as prosthetic control, rehabilitation, and augmented interaction. While deep learning approaches such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs)have demonstrated high classification accuracy for EMG-based gesture recognition, their deployment on embedded hardware remains a major challenge due to computational and memory constraints. This paper presents NeuroEdge, a real-time HD EMG-based NMI system that performs gesture recognition entirely on resource-constrained microcontrollers. The system features two custom-designed modules: the HD-EMG StreamBridge, a wireless communication interface that streams raw HD-EMG data from a Quattrocento amplifier to an ESP32 microcontroller; and the EdgeDL Inference Engine, a lightweight deep learning framework executing on a Sony Spresense microcontroller. A compact 1-dimensional CNN optimized for embedded inference processes, sliding windows of EMG data in real time. Data streaming and inference are pipelined and synchronized through an architecture that utilizes Direct Memory Access (DMA) for data transfer and Serial Peripheral Interface (SPI) burst communication between the ESP32 and Spresense, ensuring low-latency performance. Experimental results show that NeuroEdge achieves a real-time classification accuracy of 90% across seven hand gestures, with a total average latency of 83 ms using 192 channels of HD-EMG recorded from the forearm. Our system demonstrates the feasibility of deploying complex HD-EMG-based gesture recognition on microcontroller-based edge devices, bridging the gap between high-resolution biosignal acquisition and deep learning-based embedded inference for next-generation NMIs.
We study minimal attention-only transformers under all-token corruption and show they admit a two-stage empirical Bayes interpretation. A single attention step computes a kernel-weighted posterior mean with respect to the empirical distribution defined by the context. Depth refines this distribution through particle dynamics (Stage 1), while a long-range skip-connection carries the noisy input as a query for posterior inference (Stage 2), revealing distinct statistical roles for depth and attention residuals. The framework isolates a minimal setting in which the context itself induces a depth-dependent energy landscape governing in-context inference. We show that effective denoising can emerge without an explicit noise schedule: a fixed kernel bandwidth and finite integration horizon suffice, yielding a principled depth-noise relationship. We further establish a posterior-mean recovery guarantee for a class of well-behaved priors, where the empirical estimator converges to the Bayes-optimal predictor under asymptotic conditions. Connecting these dynamics to reverse-diffusion limits, our results provide a statistical interpretation of attention as in-context inference via sample-based posterior estimation, without explicit density modeling.
Understanding how cortical activity represents natural whole-body behaviors in primates remains challenging. Limited by the diversity of movements and inaccessibility of large-scale neural representation of whole-body kinematics, previous motor decoding studies focused on constrained tasks and limited limb movements. Here, we present a neural-behavioral recording and modeling framework for freely moving monkeys, combining large-scale epidural cortical signals from distributed sensory- and motor-related areas with synchronized multi-view motion capture through a custom-made data collection platform. We reconstructed whole-body monkey kinematics and learned a compact behavior prior using an autoregressive encoder-decoder model. Conditioned on neural signals, the model decoded accurate and realistic whole-body movement without explicit physical constraints. Our results provide a novel proof-of-concept approach for decoding natural whole-body movements in primates using large-scale intracranial neural activity.
Integer Linear Programming (ILP) serves as a versatile framework for modeling a wide range of combinatorial optimization problems, typically addressed by sophisticated exact solvers or heuristics. While learning-based approaches have recently shown their effectiveness, they suffer from poor generalization to out-of-distribution instances and inherent dependence on external solvers. In this work, we propose a solver-free, sampling-based optimization framework for ILP that directly explores discrete feasible regions without training or external solvers. Exploiting the linear structure of ILP, we employ a Locally-Balanced Proposal to construct a transition kernel, thereby avoiding the gradient approximation. To overcome the highly multimodal nature of ILP energy landscapes, we integrate Parallel Tempering. In addition to standard temperature tempering, we introduce penalty tempering, which modulates constraint barriers while preserving the objective landscape over feasible solutions. Empirically, our method consistently outperforms SCIP across all four benchmarks, matches or exceeds Gurobi on two of four tasks within a 200-second budget, and is substantially more robust to distribution shift than learning-based methods. Furthermore, on MIPLIB 2017 instances, our framework remains competitive with classical solvers without any problem-specific tuning.
Solving high-dimensional PDE-governed inverse problems is often challenging due to complex non-Gaussian posterior distributions, expensive forward model evaluations, and misspecified prior information. To address these issues, we propose a deep adaptive dimension-reduction Bayesian inference framework based on the Variational Flow (VF) model. Since standard normalizing flows are restricted by bijective mappings and cannot directly reduce dimensions, VF overcomes this limitation by integrating VAE-based nonlinear dimension reduction with dual normalizing flows for the latent prior and encoder. This design provides a strictly higher evidence lower bound than VAE and allows more flexible approximation of complex posterior distributions. We further introduce an iterative prior updating strategy that gradually moves the prior mean toward high-probability posterior regions, avoiding manual prior tuning. These components form a closed adaptive loop together with an adaptively fine-tuned Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) surrogate: VF generates posterior-concentrated samples to refine the surrogate, while the updated surrogate further improves posterior inference. Numerical experiments on a 100-dimensional Rosenbrock problem and three standard PDE-governed inverse problems show that our method delivers competitive or superior accuracy compared with MCMC, UKI, and SVGD baselines across all tested configurations, with the most pronounced advantages emerging in challenging scenarios such as high-noise observations and high-dimensional parameter spaces.