The Inference Report

March 8, 2026

The gap between what AI companies profess and what they actually build is no longer theoretical. Anthropic's Pro-Human Declaration preceded its Pentagon contract announcement by weeks, OpenAI's robotics team lost an engineer rather than accept defense work, and Google tied a $692M executive compensation package to autonomous systems and logistics infrastructure instead of language model performance. These moments expose the real incentive structure: defense contracts fund hardware development that consumer products cannot, autonomous systems and data center economics drive value creation, and the companies that control infrastructure control the market. When Samsung packs multiple AI models onto Galaxy devices and KKR invests billions in cooling infrastructure, when Grammarly slaps writer names onto features without consent, the pattern becomes clear. Safety frameworks and credibility declarations are rhetoric. The actual competition is over who owns the hardware, who signs the checks, and what infrastructure gets built.

This collision between stated values and structural incentives maps directly onto how the field is reorganizing around production realities. Information retrieval research has moved past laboratory benchmarks toward systems-level evaluation that couples retrieval quality with computational cost and business impact, revealing that improvements in recall frequently fail to translate into real gains once latency constraints and re-ranking budgets enter the equation. Similarly, across trending development frameworks, the shift is away from treating AI as a service and toward treating it as infrastructure for autonomous agents. OpenAI's Skills Catalog, Alibaba's page-agent, and the AI Hedge Fund team don't succeed because they reason better than existing models; they succeed because they decompose problems into sequences of discrete actions, route tasks to specialized components, and maintain state across multi-step workflows. Agency-agents sells each component as a specialized expert with proven deliverables. The real work isn't happening in model weights. It's happening in the orchestration layer that decides what to do with model output, in the glue code that makes agents deployable units with personality and process attached, and in the physics simulation engines and audio SDKs that embed agents into robotics pipelines and on-device inference. Infrastructure, not rhetoric, is where the actual story lives.

Grant Calloway

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Research Papers — FocusedAll papers
Neighborhood-Aware Dual Biomedical Entity Linking cs.IR

Biomedical entity linking grounds mentions in clinical and scientific text to entities in a curated knowledge base (KB) with ontological structure, which supports downstream applications such as literature-scale information extraction and patient-record normalization. The task has several challenges at once: the KB contains large numbers of entities, mentions are often ambiguous, and gold labels follow annotation conventions specific to each corpus. To address these challenges, we propose PILOT, a three-stage framework made up of neighborhood-aware retrieval, dual reranking, and score fusion. The retriever injects ontological structure from both the query and KB side, by reformulating mentions and pooling entity embeddings. The retrieved pool is then scored from two complementary views, one over surface forms and one over context, and fused together. PILOT achieves the state of the art on average across five widely-used benchmarks and remains efficient at inference.

The Price of Isolation: Estimating the Ecosystem Cost of Symmetric Two-Sided A/B Testing cs.IR

On two-sided content platforms, symmetric two-sided isolation (assigning matched fractions of creators and viewers to isolated treatment and control submarkets) is widely used for creator-side and cold-start experiments because it removes cross-arm marketplace interference. Isolation, however, thins each viewer's candidate catalog, and intuition suggests the resulting engagement cost should fade as the platform grows: a small fraction of a vast catalog is still vast. We show that, in an order-statistics model of engagement, whether this intuition holds depends on the upper tail of match quality. Extreme-value theory yields tail-class loss laws with a sharp dichotomy: for light or bounded tails the loss vanishes as the candidate pool grows, whereas under heavy tails it converges to a size-independent constant, so expanding the candidate pool, even by orders of magnitude, does not asymptotically eliminate the cost. Evidence from two production experiments on a platform with millions of active creators is consistent with this picture: a pure A/A traffic sweep reveals a measurable, depth-graded engagement cost; a one-sided catalog ablation independently shows that per-viewer thinning contributes to the loss; and a tail index calibrated on the small exploration pool predicts an effect consistent with the one observed in the far larger full-catalog ablation. Isolation thus carries a price that experimenters should budget for, like any other cost. We give practitioners a preflight procedure that estimates it before launch, sizes traffic accordingly, and recommends a fallback design when the predicted cost exceeds a chosen tolerance.

Multi-Objective Ranking for Live-Streaming: Balancing Fresh and Delayed Signals with Segment-Aware Targeting cs.IR

One of the most challenging problems entertainment live-streaming services face in recommendation systems is that user behaviors are sparse and delayed, and interaction data exhibits bias for different user segments. Unlike e-commerce applications where user actions follow linear sequences, live-streaming viewers engage in multiple concurrent behaviors of watching, chatting, following, and spending, each occurring with varying delays. We address these challenges through three key contributions: 1) a delayed window approach that extends feedback collection beyond immediate responses, 2) a multi-model architecture that combines fresh and delayed signals, and a segment-aware targeting module that optimizes ranking scores differently across user lifecycle stages, and 3) Multi-gate Mixture-of-Experts (MMoE) integration that jointly models correlated targets while reducing model parameters by 41.9% compared to independent models. Online A/B testing demonstrates significant improvements, including a +0.09% increase in Daily Active Viewers (DAV), generating millions more annual active viewer days, and +0.56% increase in highly engaged viewers' capped Average Revenue Per User (ARPU). Viewer-segment targeting achieved an additional +0.15% DAV improvement for newer and less engaged viewers, while MMoE enhancement added +0.08% overall DAV and +0.27% new follows. The proposed system processes ranking requests with low latency, providing a scalable approach for balancing multiple business objectives across diverse user populations. In addition, we tested the multi-model architecture on the Twitch mobile live feed and achieved a +1.12% increase in positive user-channel interactions (clicks, follows, and likes), demonstrating applicability beyond the primary use case.

Search, Inspect, Fetch: Exploiting Boolean Retrieval for Deep-Research Agents cs.IR

Existing deep-research agents use a search-visit workflow that retrieves and reads whole pages, without considering the addressable structure that web sources expose through titles, headings, sections, and metadata. This prevents agents from directly constraining retrieval to document fields and often carries irrelevant page content into their context. We introduce SIEVE, a search-inspect-fetch interface driven by fielded Boolean retrieval (BQL). SIEVE filters candidates over document fields, ranks the admitted set, presents structure-rich result cards for inspection, and fetches only selected sections. Across three QA collections, SIEVE achieves higher accuracy than the most accurate conventional Search-Visit configuration on each collection while using 20.7-50.6% fewer tokens. Further analyses show that BQL filtering improves all tested rankers and that the accuracy-context advantage persists across retriever choices and agent backbones. Code and data are available at https://github.com/ielab/skim-search-agent.

Field Aware Agent Skill Retrieval cs.IR

As lifelong learning agents accumulate lifelong growing skill banks, retrieving the correct skill becomes an increasingly important bottleneck. Most current skill retrieval methods treat each skill as one flat document by concatenating fields such as the name, description, and body. However, skills are naturally structured, multi-field objects, where each field provides different information about when and how the skill should be used. In this work, we study whether preserving this structure improves skill retrieval. We represent each skill as its separate components, and compute sparse and dense similarities for each field independently, exposing a naturally tensorized, field-aware representation of the skill bank. We then combine these field-level scores either with uniform weights or with a small learned MLP. Across two different skill retrieval benchmarks, SkillRet and SRA-Bench, we find that keeping fields separate improves hybrid retrieval, and learning over the field-level scores gives the strongest and most consistent results. Our field-aware MLP reaches $77.95$ Recall@10 on SkillRet and $83.78$ Recall@10 on SRA-Bench, outperforming the corresponding concatenated learned baselines. We also find that the advantage grows as the skill bank becomes larger, suggesting that field-aware skill retrieval becomes especially useful in the setting where retrieval is most difficult. Our results show that skill representation itself matters, and that simply preserving the structure already present in skill files can substantially improve retrieval.

LLM-Derived Priors for Thompson Sampling in Cold-Start Comment Recommendation cs.IR

Multi-armed bandit algorithms, especially Thompson sampling, are widely used in online recommendation. Despite their ability to adapt from online feedback, these methods often suffer from cold-start limitations when newly introduced arms have little or no interaction history. In our setting, the candidate arms are user-generated textual comments, whose semantic content can reveal a title's appeal before sufficient interaction feedback is available. We therefore use large language models (LLMs) to extract semantic signals from comment text and convert them into informative Bayesian priors that warm-start Thompson sampling under sparse early-stage feedback. To account for aggregate segment-level differences in response patterns, we maintain and update posteriors separately for each gender-age segment. In a real-world online A/B/C test, we compare a uniform prior with two LLM-based designs: a Gender Prior for demographic-affinity cues and a Content Prior for title-specific identity cues. The results show that LLM-based priors are most beneficial in sparse-feedback regimes -- with the largest gains emerging once a small amount of interaction evidence has accumulated -- and that prior design leads to distinct funnel-level effects. We further analyze prior-reward alignment and demographic heterogeneity, finding that click-oriented alignment is strongest for the Gender Prior and that treatment effects vary substantially across demographic segments. These findings suggest that LLM-derived priors can serve as a practical warm-start mechanism for text-rich bandit recommendation, while also revealing deployment trade-offs.

BenchmarksFull tables
Artificial AnalysisIntelligence Index

Composite score across coding, math, and reasoning

#ModelScoretok/s$/1M
1Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview57.2125$4.50
2GPT-5.45775$5.63
3GPT-5.3 Codex5470$4.81
4Claude Opus 4.65363$10.00
5Claude Sonnet 4.651.769$6.00
SWE-rebench

Agentic coding on real-world software engineering tasks

#ModelScore
1Claude Code52.9%
2Claude Opus 4.651.7%
3gpt-5.2-2025-12-11-xhigh51.7%
4gpt-5.2-2025-12-11-medium51.0%
5gpt-5.1-codex-max48.5%