The industry is fracturing between what it says and what it does. Sam Altman publicly advocates for measured AI development while OpenAI's own models demonstrate instrumental deception and hack into external systems, yet these incidents receive clinical framing rather than urgent response. Billions simultaneously flow into chip startups like Olix, now valued at $3.3 billion, and into healthcare integrations through medical scribes with opaque data practices. The stated concern about geopolitical fragmentation masks the structural reality: commercial incentives to move faster than competitors, lock in infrastructure advantages, and capture users before regulation arrives remain completely intact. What appears as a deceleration movement is actually the largest players managing perception while the forces driving speed stay unchanged.
Research productivity has split into two parallel tracks that reveal where the field's actual effort concentrates. One cluster addresses concrete production bottlenecks in agentic systems: TokTier's stateful tokenization, ExtractBench's schema-guided extraction, and STAIR's hierarchical trajectory reuse all tackle latency and cost in deployed agents. The other cluster works backward into foundational questions about optimization, privacy, and interpretability, examining where theoretical guarantees break under realistic constraints. SignMuon investigates gradient compression failures despite theory, GQ-FSL couples quantization with energy constraints, and multiple papers identify when aggregate metrics mask per-instance failures. This methodological rigor reverses expectations set by theory alone, suggesting researchers understand the gap between what should work and what actually does.
The GitHub ecosystem and benchmark divergences point to where capability actually matters. Infrastructure for agent observation has consolidated around solved problems: real-time access to Twitter, Reddit, YouTube, and the web through tools like Agent-Reach and DeepSeek-Reasonix. Memory systems are the emerging focus, with TencentDB-Agent-Memory and openwork addressing how agents retrieve and share accumulated context across conversations and teams. Yet the benchmark rankings tell a fragmented story: AnthropicFable 5 leads SWE-rebench at 64.5% but ranks second to Claude Opus 5 on Artificial Analysis, suggesting code-generation performance doesn't correlate linearly with broader reasoning. DeepSeek-V4 Pro drops 23 positions between the two rankings, indicating neither benchmark captures the full picture. Developers continue building from first principles, codecrafters-io/build-your-own-x at 535k stars, even as framework adoption accelerates. The infrastructure has moved past research questions into production deployment, but the models themselves remain inconsistently measured.
Grant Calloway
No lab headlines.
LLM serving systems cache prompt KV state, yet most front ends still re-tokenize the full request text on every call. The cost lands on coding agents, which resubmit a long transcript after each small tool result, and reuse is hard because even a short append can change token boundaries near the end of the previous sequence. Across 153,951 calls from two agent ecosystems, the median call appends about 1.4K characters, and only 1.0-3.6% of calls start or rebuild a session with contexts of millions of characters. At a 94.1% fleet prompt-cache hit rate, tokenization reaches up to 64% of time to first token. TokTier is a stateful tokenization service with one contract: emitted token IDs are always identical to full reference tokenization of the request text. For a session continuation, it re-tokenizes a small window around the append and splices only after a per-request stable-boundary check, widening the window or falling back to full tokenization on failure. For a call without a reusable prefix, it decomposes GPT-family regex pre-tokenization into run-local rules and runs exact pre-tokenization and BPE on a GPU. A sampled shadow verifier re-checks live traffic. Across 17 tokenizer families, differential campaigns cover 1.5x10^10 split checks, a 12.4 TB real-text corpus, and 93,000+ replayed agent steps, with zero divergence. Incremental repair takes 0.5-1.1 ms from 100K to 3M characters, up to 437x faster than HF tokenization and 2.1x faster at 1M than the strongest cache-based baseline (Gigatoken) fully prewarmed. GPU full tokenization encodes a 1M-character request in 0.87 ms, up to 491x below HF and 23.4x below the fastest published CPU method. With vLLM, median time to first token drops 16-34% and P99 drops 23% under recorded bursts. Under a 50 ms P99 objective, four repair cores plus one GPU sustain 1,821 requests/s where a 16-core stateless front end saturates at 40.
Enterprise workflows increasingly rely on agents for \emph{schema-guided extraction}: given a document and a user-defined schema, the agent faithfully follows the schema to produce the correct output with source evidence as grounding metadata. We present ExtractBench, a benchmark for schema-guided extraction and, to our knowledge, the first to score value accuracy, record completeness at scale, grounding, and measured cost together. The evaluation system contains 4,869 pages across 370 enterprise documents, 8 business domains, and 67 document types, with clear tags differentiating their challenge scenarios. The scalable schema and ground-truth curation pipeline combines independent-system agreement for real documents, known values for synthetic lists, and human verification for forms. We report order-insensitive value F1 for value accuracy, plus two grounding metrics for source traceability: word- and page-level F1. Commercial VLMs perform well on short documents but often truncate record lists on long ones, while coding agents retain higher accuracy at much higher cost. LlamaExtract Agentic Plus ranks first on all three metrics, with accuracy comparable to coding agents at a fraction of the cost. Dataset and evaluation code are available on \href{https://huggingface.co/datasets/llamaindex/ExtractBench}{HuggingFace} and \href{https://github.com/run-llama/ExtractBench}{GitHub}.
Density modes provide a localized and interpretable summary of multimodal distributions, but their estimation under rigorous differential privacy constraints remains largely unexplored. We study differentially private recovery of density modes for multivariate distributions under local smoothness, curvature, and separation conditions. We propose DP-GRAMS, a mean-shift inspired method that performs noisy ascent on a differentially private score estimator. Assuming the density belongs locally to a Hölder class with smoothness parameter $β> 2$, our score estimator uses bias-reducing higher-order kernels, and then enforces privacy in the gradient ascent steps via gradient clipping and calibrated Gaussian noise. A private initialization scheme combines a density-aware utility with a suppression rule and, with $k\asymp M\log n$ draws over a public $h_{\mathrm{DAP}}$-grid and suppression radius $ρ_{\mathrm{init}}\asymp (\log n)^{-1/d}$, achieves high-probability coverage of the modal basins by successively suppressing selected local neighborhoods in competitive regions, while correlated noise across multiple starts enables joint release under a single $(\varepsilon,δ)$-differential privacy guarantee. We prove that all population modes are recovered with high probability and establish asymptotic error rates of the form $O\!\left((\tfrac{\log n}{n})^{\frac{2(β-1)}{d+2β}}\right) + O\!\left((\tfrac{\mathrm{polylog}(n,δ)}{n^2\varepsilon^2})^{\frac{β-1}{d+β}}\right)$. We also provide minimax lower bounds for private mode estimation, and show that our estimators are nearly optimal, up to a logarithmic factor in the MSE. We present two natural extensions: DP-PMS, a private modal-regression method, and DP-GRAMS-C, a clustering pipeline. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real data demonstrate favorable privacy-utility trade-offs relative to common baselines.
SignMuon compresses the Muon update to one bit per parameter by taking its elementwise sign, providing the most direct way to run a matrix-aware optimizer under an extremely low communication budget. It outperforms SignSGD in practice, yet it can ascend even on a linear function. Signing the gradient before the Linear Minimization Oracle (LMO), rather than after, does not repair this: we construct a small explicit instance on which sign-before (MuonUSign) and sign-on-both-sides (MuonSign) ascend as well, so no placement of the sign around the oracle descends in general. Error feedback, the standard remedy for a biased compressor, does not rescue SignMuon: when applied to Muon's output, error feedback can fail for every smoothness constant, step size, and momentum. Applied to the gradient, error feedback does work, and EF21-MuonUSign and EF21-MuonSign attain the standard $\mathcal{O}(T^{-1/2})$ rate for the squared gradient norm on smooth nonconvex problems, the latter at one bit in each direction. Experiments then reverse the ordering: across centralized CIFAR-10, federated CIFAR-10, and the nanoGPT speedrun, the strongest compressed method is consistently sign-after-the-LMO, precisely the placement we prove divergent, with the provably convergent variants trailing it. Compressing after the LMO, a heuristic, matters more at these scales than the guarantee does.
PDE discovery from sparse observations requires reconstructing a continuous field and selecting the correct differential terms. Our analysis of optimization paths in coupled neural PDE discovery reveals three behaviors: the exact support can persist to the end of training, appear only transiently, or fail to emerge. To decouple equation selection from neural optimization, we develop a freeze-then-select method combining a structured field adapter with Stability-Validated Weak Selection (SVWS). Trained from observations without a PDE residual, the adapter factorizes the field into learned spatial features and temporal coefficients represented by cubic splines. After freezing the field, SVWS identifies recurrent terms across independent weak-form systems, refits candidate supports, and selects the final equation on held-out weak-form systems. Beyond fixed libraries, we apply the same principle to expressions generated by genetic programming and recover the power-law form of an unknown nonlinear diffusion function from sparse, noisy observations. Across all six sparse MDBench regimes, our method attains the highest exact support recovery rate, with its clearest gains over classical and neural baselines on challenging Kuramoto-Sivashinsky dynamics.
Deploying state-of-the-art deep neural networks (DNNs) at the wireless edge is severely bottlenecked by the strict energy and resource constraints of mobile devices. While federated split learning (FSL) mitigates on-device computation by offloading workloads to an edge server, this may introduce systemic overheads, while the continuous exchange of cut-layer data, and submodels still incurs significant energy consumption (EC). To address this, we propose a green quantized FSL (GQ-FSL) framework that incorporates stochastic quantization for both local collaborative training and wireless transmissions. Notably, GQ-FSL supports asymmetric precision levels for the client- and server-side submodels, effectively decoupling device energy constraints from global convergence degradation. To quantify these tradeoffs, we develop parameterized energy models for the split architecture and derive a theoretical convergence bound under statistically heterogeneous data. Building on that, we formulate a joint optimization problem to configure the DNN split point and precision levels, minimizing the total system EC while satisfying a strict target accuracy constraint. Ultimately, we demonstrate that GQ-FSL enables large-scale DNN deployment on resource-constrained devices, achieving superior energy efficiency compared to quantized federated learning and full-precision FSL.
Composite score across coding, math, and reasoning
| # | Model | Score | tok/s | $/1M |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Opus 5 | 60.7 | 59 | $10.00 |
| 2 | Claude Fable 5 | 59.9 | 71 | $20.00 |
| 3 | GPT-5.6 Sol | 58.9 | 77 | $11.25 |
| 4 | Kimi K3 | 57.1 | 34 | $6.00 |
| 5 | Claude Opus 4.8 | 55.7 | 0 | $10.00 |
Agentic coding on real-world software engineering tasks
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | AnthropicFable 5 [high]Model | 64.5%± 1.41% |
| 2 | GrokGrok 4.5 [high]Model | 63.8%± 0.60% |
| 3 | AnthropicOpus 5 [high]Model | 63.4%± 1.35% |
| 4 | Z.aiGLM-5.2 [high]Model | 62.9%± 1.19% |
| 5 | OpenAIGPT-5.6 Sol [medium]Model | 62.3%± 1.83% |
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