The Inference Report

June 20, 2026

The US government's ban on Anthropic's Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models demonstrates a fundamental mismatch between how export controls work in theory and how they function in practice. The jailbreaks that prompted the ban already exist in competing models sitting on the market, and the restriction applies to one builder while others ship identical capabilities, making the action look arbitrary rather than protective. This echoes three decades of failed attempts to restrict encryption and security software through export controls, suggesting the approach itself may be structurally unsound when consensus among all builders doesn't exist.

The actual consolidation of power is happening through infrastructure standardization, not restriction. Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, and others created the Appia Foundation to establish specifications for AI behavior verification, while a separate coalition is backing Agentic Resource Discovery to standardize how agents access tools within corporate systems. These aren't limitations on what can be built. They're infrastructure plays that lock in the largest players as gatekeepers of how enterprise AI gets deployed and audited. The federal government is moving at speed to adopt these same frameworks, with the National Endowment for the Arts deploying an AI coding agent to rebuild its grants system in a week and NASA running critical systems on standardized frameworks. When government and enterprise both standardize on infrastructure controlled by the same five or six companies, export bans become almost beside the point.

The real competition is between builders shipping products and committees publishing frameworks. Noam Shazeer moved from Google to OpenAI, Subquadratic emerged claiming to have solved a decade-old mathematical bottleneck in LLMs, and Temporal is positioning itself as the reliability backbone for agentic systems. Meanwhile, GitHub and AMD are signaling that the actual value in AI infrastructure has shifted away from model capabilities toward making them work inside existing systems without vendor lock-in. GitHub demonstrated that Copilot-powered agents are now operational tools for internal analytics rather than research projects, while AMD released a practical guide to running LLMs locally on Radeon hardware as an alternative to proprietary GPU platforms. As model quality plateaus across vendors, the winners will be whoever makes deployment easiest and cheapest for the people building products and running businesses. That's not a race for the next breakthrough. It's infrastructure consolidation, and it's already underway.

Grant Calloway

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Research Papers — FocusedAll papers
ScoreField: Neural Inverse Scattering with Score-Based Generative Priors eess.IV

Designing an effective electromagnetic inverse-scattering solver requires faithful enforcement of nonlinear full-wave physics together with an expressive prior on the unknown permittivity contrast. We propose ScoreField, a neural inverse scattering framework that integrates coupled implicit neural representations (INRs) with a pretrained score-based generative prior. ScoreField employs two INRs to parameterize the permittivity contrast and the induced current fields, and jointly optimize them under the Lippmann-Schwinger equations. In addition to the implicit regularization by the INR architecture, the score model provides a learned prior gradient on the contrast, which is propagated to the contrast INR through the chain rule. This formulation enables ScoreField to effectively handle strong multiple scattering, where nonlinear wave interactions require accurate modeling of the coupled full-wave physics. We evaluate ScoreField on simulated weak- and strong-scattering benchmarks, the canonical Austria phantom, and experimental Fresnel measurements. We note that ScoreField significantly improves reconstruction fidelity and suppresses artifacts relative to classical full-wave methods and deep learning baselines, achieving an average PSNR improvement of $1.8 \, \mathrm{dB}$ over the best competing method on real Fresnel data.

Automatic Patient-Specific Microwave Ablation Planning Accelerated by a Physics-Guided Deep Learning Model eess.IV

Microwave ablation (MWA) is a promising minimally invasive treatment for liver tumors, but its therapeutic outcome strongly depends on patient-specific planning of antenna insertion trajectory, power, and treatment duration. Accurate numerical simulation can provide physically reliable ablation predictions; however, its high computational cost limits its use in optimization-based planning, where repeated forward evaluations are required. To address this issue, we propose a digital twin-based automatic planning framework that combines a neural ablation prediction model with a genetic algorithm. The model was trained on multiphysics simulation data generated from patient-specific tumor and vessel structures, antenna configurations, and treatment conditions, and was used as a fast forward model during planning. The prediction model achieved a Dice score of 95.1%, enabling accurate deep learning-based optimization. In 13 unseen planning cases, the proposed method improved ablation efficiency by 54.3% and reduced organ damage by 55.0% compared with clinician-defined planning, while slightly shortening the insertion path length by 3.3%. Most generated plans were also judged clinically applicable by MWA specialists. Furthermore, the framework enabled approximately 420-fold faster planning than numerical-simulation-based planning, demonstrating its potential as a fast digital twin for quantitative and personalized MWA treatment planning. The code is available at: https://github.com/SeonAengCho/MWA-Planning.git

Few-shot Deep Learning for Phase-Amplitude Aberration Correction in Transcranial Focused Ultrasound eess.IV

Transcranial focused ultrasound (tFUS) is a non-invasive technique that delivers focused acoustic energy through the skull for neuromodulation and therapeutic applications. However, the heterogeneous structure of the skull induces complex, patient-specific phase and amplitude aberrations that distort the acoustic focus and deviate it from the intended target, compromising therapeutic efficacy and safety. Conventional time-reversal (TR) simulations can correct these aberrations but rely on computationally expensive full-wave solvers, making them impractical for real-time use and iterative treatment planning. We propose a few-shot deep surrogate framework that predicts per-element phase and amplitude corrections for a 96-element 3D phased-array transducer from patient CT images. A geometry-aware encoder extracts skull-path features shared across dedicated phase classification and amplitude regression branches, where phase periodicity is handled via circular expectation decoding. The framework is pretrained on diverse skull geometries and fine-tuned with only ten target points, enabling rapid adaptation to unseen patients without full patient-specific simulation. Evaluated via leave-one-out cross-validation across 12 skulls, it achieves a mean phase CMAE of 0.155 rad and amplitude rMAE of 9.089%, a focal centroid error of 0.467 mm, Dice score of 94.422%, and peak pressure ratio of 92.332%, with an approximately 2,535 times speedup over TR simulation. The code is available at https://github.com/Minju-Seol/fewshot-tfus-correction.

MoPET: Parameter-Efficient Mixture-of-Experts for Unified Medical Image Classification eess.IV

Adapting deep learning models to profound clinical heterogeneity typically relies on parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) to avoid the severe overfitting associated with full end-to-end network updates. Although PEFT successfully navigates limited data scenarios, it inherently forces the training of a separate, isolated adapter for every specific diagnostic task. Consolidating these isolated adapters into a single generalist network risks negative transfer, as optimization gradients from conflicting visual domains interfere. To address this, we propose MoPET, a mixture-of-experts (MoE) method that uses a learned sparse router to direct each input through a small subset of low-rank PEFT experts injected into a frozen foundation model, sharing capacity across datasets while limiting cross-domain gradient conflict. Through selected evaluations on the MedMNIST benchmark, we first establish that PEFT outperforms full network updates, improving average accuracy from 86.50% to 88.97%. We then show that a single MoPET model consolidates four heterogeneous datasets into one network, improving average accuracy over the best isolated PEFT adapters (93.46% versus 92.83%). Finally, we show that co-training with auxiliary datasets improves accuracy on data-constrained clinical targets, raising average target accuracy over the strongest isolated adapter from 81.58% to 83.58%. Our source code is publicly available at https://github.com/sdoerrich97/mopet .

Rethinking Clinical Relevance in Chest X-ray Machine Learning: How Evaluation References Define Performance eess.IV

Chest X-ray (CXR) machine learning relies heavily on automated evaluation using reference standards that aim to approximate clinical judgment. However, commonly used report-derived labels for pathology classification or generic image quality metrics for reconstruction may not reliably reflect clinical judgment. We systematically investigate how evaluation-reference choices affect model performance and ranking in both pathology classification and image quality assessment (IQA). To enable controlled comparison across evaluation references, we collected paired expert image- and report-derived labels for thoracic findings from a clinical cohort at Cambridge University Hospitals (CUH) and curated a subset of the public MIMIC-CXR dataset, along with expert ratings of diagnostic image quality. We show that for supervised image classifiers (ResNet, DenseNet), several zero-shot and fine-tuned vision-language models (e.g., MedKLIP, GLoRIA, and ConVIRT), changing the label source leads to substantial differences not only in performance estimates but also in model rankings. In parallel, alignment of IQA measures with expert judgment depends heavily on the choice of measure, and commonly used IQA metrics such as SSIM and PSNR often fail to align with expert assessments of diagnostic usability. Our results demonstrate that evaluation choices are crucial: they can determine which models and methods appear best and are therefore selected for further development or deployment. The selection of evaluation references should therefore be treated as a central component of clinical validity in CXR machine learning, and justified with respect to the pathology, imaging task, and intended downstream clinical use.

An Attention-Based Framework for Alzheimers Disease Classification Using Resting-State fMRI eess.IV

Accurate identification of Alzheimers disease (AD) using resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) remains challenging due to the high dimensionality, noise, and complex inter-regional dependencies inherent in functional brain connectivity, which limit the effectiveness of traditional approaches based on handcrafted connectivity features or conventional machine learning models. In this work, we present an attention-based deep learning framework for Alzheimers disease classification that operates directly on rs-fMRI functional connectivity matrices by treating brain regions as tokens and employing a Transformer-inspired self-attention mechanism to model long-range and global functional dependencies across distributed brain networks. The proposed framework learns discriminative functional representations without reliance on manual feature engineering and is evaluated on a longitudinal cohort from the Alzheimers Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) comprising cognitively normal and Alzheimers disease subjects with multiple visits. A subject-wise evaluation protocol is adopted to prevent information leakage across visits, and class-weighted optimization is incorporated to address mild class imbalance. Experimental results for binary AD versus cognitively normal classification demonstrate that the proposed attention- based rs-fMRI model achieves an accuracy of 88.95% and a ROC-AUC of 0.90, along with a favorable precision-recall balance, highlighting the effectiveness of self-attention-driven functional connectivity modeling as a robust and interpretable approach for Alzheimers disease detection using resting-state fMRI.

BenchmarksFull tables
Artificial AnalysisIntelligence Index

Composite score across coding, math, and reasoning

#ModelScoretok/s$/1M
1Claude Fable 559.90$20.00
2Claude Opus 4.855.764$10.00
3GPT-5.554.861$11.25
4Claude Opus 4.753.557$10.00
5GPT-5.451.4142$5.63
SWE-rebench

Agentic coding on real-world software engineering tasks

#ModelScore
1gpt-5.5-2026-04-23-xhigh62.7%
2Junie61.6%
3Codex60.4%
4Claude Code59.6%
5gpt-5.5-2026-04-23-medium58.9%
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