The Inference Report

May 27, 2026

The infrastructure supporting AI agents is fracturing under the weight of production reality. Starlette, downloaded 325 million times weekly, carries a critical vulnerability that exposes millions of agents to compromise precisely when enterprises are racing to deploy them, yet the gap between ambition and execution keeps widening: 85% of organizations want agentic systems within three years, but 76% cannot operationally support them. Production agents are being quietly downscoped to read-only assistants and human-in-the-loop workflows because real-world data arrives late, facts conflict, APIs time out, and permissions fail. The demos work. The deployments don't.

Market behavior is signaling rejection of forced consolidation. DuckDuckGo installs jumped 30% when Google forced AI Search integration, while OpenRouter's valuation more than doubled to $1.3 billion on the strength of 5x usage growth in six months, driven by demand for choice among models rather than capture around a single interface. Distribution no longer guarantees control. Those offering optionality are winning where incumbents expected lock-in.

At the silicon level, NVIDIA is positioning Vera to handle the computational demands of continuous execution and agentic reasoning, targeting architectural gaps that batch-processing inference never faced. AWS and Anthropic are making different bets: AWS emphasizes startup engagement and geographic expansion while Anthropic opens in Seoul ahead of Computex, suggesting they believe the next phase of competition happens at distribution and regional footprint rather than at the memory bus. The divergence reveals two different theories of where the bottleneck actually lies.

GitHub and the open-source layer tell the real story. Claude-mem, Understand-Anything, and Taste-Skill have accumulated tens of thousands of stars by solving concrete problems: agents forget, code needs to be queryable, and generic output needs filtering. Mukul975's cybersecurity skills repository maps 754 competencies across Claude Code, Cursor, Copilot, and 20+ platforms rather than locking into a single vendor, a pattern repeated across agent harnesses and knowledge-work plugins. The infrastructure race has shifted from model size to making agents stateful, searchable, portable, and data-aware. What's being built is not a unified system but a fragmented web of tools designed to work across multiple platforms, each solving a specific failure mode of the previous generation.

Grant Calloway

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Research Papers — FocusedAll papers
Conformal Uncertainty Quantification Guarantees for Neural Operators math.NA

Neural operators provide fast surrogate models for approximating operators between function spaces, but their predictions often lack uncertainty quantification. We develop a split conformal framework to guarantee that a calibrated pointwise band around the neural operator output contains the true solution on at least a $1-γ$ fraction of the evaluation domain, with probability at least $1-α$ over test and calibration inputs, where $α,γ\in(0,1)$. Our method reduces a normalized residual field to its spatial $(1-γ)$-quantile and computes a scaling factor using a held-out calibration dataset. We prove marginal coverage guarantees for measurable residual fields defined on arbitrary probability spaces, covering both continuum domains and fixed discretizations. Under mild assumptions on the data distribution, we show that the coverage conditional on the calibration set follows a Beta distribution, which we verify with numerical experiments on Darcy flow and Navier--Stokes equations, where our calibration yields bands consistently tighter than existing corrections while retaining the target coverage.

Physics-Informed Stochastic Configuration Machine: A Backpropagation-Free Neural Network with Fast Training for Nonlinear Differential Equations math.NA

While Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have emerged as a transformative paradigm for solving complex differential equations, their reliance on backpropagation-based gradient descent and automatic differentiation (AD) imposes significant computational bottlenecks and severe non-convex optimization challenges. To overcome these fundamental limitations, we propose the Physics-Informed Stochastic Configuration Machine (PI-SCM), a novel backpropagation-free framework for both forward and inverse problems in differential equations. The core mathematical contribution lies in the analytical evaluation of local Jacobians for nonlinear differential operators, which facilitates a linearized representation of the physical loss and projects it into a unified, linearized algebraic subspace. This reformulation allows for the explicit determination of optimal network weights via a sequence of generalized linear least squares solvers, effectively bypassing the iterative traps of traditional nonlinear optimizers. We develop a progressive algorithmic suite comprising localized construction (PI-SC-I), sliding-window updating (PI-SC-II), and global updating (PI-SC-III), and rigorously establish their universal approximation properties. Extensive experiments demonstrate that PI-SCM achieves high-fidelity predictive accuracy and robust parameter identification while accelerating the training process by orders of magnitude compared to standard PINNs. Our work provides a highly efficient and scalable foundation for next-generation, real-time Scientific Machine Learning applications.

Enforcing Dirichlet Boundary Conditions in Operator Learning math.NA

Operator learning in scientific machine learning is concerned with approximation of maps between infinite-dimensional function spaces; such maps frequently arise as the solution operators of partial differential equations (PDEs). Neural operators have demonstrated broad empirical success at approximating such maps from data. However, most existing neural operator architectures enforce boundary conditions indirectly through training from data even though the boundary condition is often known exactly. Furthermore, existing modifications and approaches that do enforce boundary conditions explicitly suffer from impractical restrictions, including boundary smoothness, uniform grids, and separable, box-like domains. In this work, we propose an architecture which, independently of training, satisfies homogeneous Dirichlet boundary conditions, whilst simultaneously retaining the expressivity of existing kernel-integral neural operator architectures. This is achieved by enforcing the property that the output of each layer is contained in the span of a subset of the homogeneous Dirichlet eigenfunctions of the Laplacian on the output domain. The method requires only that the output domain be bounded with Lipschitz boundary and places no restriction on the choice of discretization, making it applicable to arbitrary mesh data and general geometries. We prove universal approximation for the resulting architecture; furthermore the approach we adopt in the analysis proves universality for a broad class of kernel-integral neural operators thereby uniting existing theory for a variety of operator learning methods. We validate the proposed method on maps defined by the coefficient to solution map in 2D PDEs: Darcy flow on a square domain and the Helmholtz equation on a circular domain. Comparisons are made with alternative methods.

ROMNet: a hybrid reduced order modeling and machine learning approach to waveform inversion math.NA

Waveform inversion seeks to estimate the wave speed of a heterogeneous, inaccessible medium, from time-resolved measurements of the waves at user controlled sensors. We consider this inverse problem for acoustic waves and an active array of source/receiver sensors that emit probing signals and measure the generated pressure waves. The forward map, from the wave speed to the measurements, is nonlinear and oscillatory. The oscillations cause cycle skipping, the main impediment to using the standard, nonlinear least-squares data fitting formulation, known as full waveform inversion (FWI). A recently introduced alternative waveform inversion approach computes from the measurements an algebraic surrogate of the wave operator, a reduced order model (ROM) matrix, which is then used to estimate the wave speed. The mapping from the measurements to the ROM is nonlinear, but well understood. It is computed efficiently, in a non-iterative manner. The nonlinear mapping from the ROM to the wave speed is less understood, and its approximation involves time-consuming optimization. Our goal in this paper is to use a neural network to map the ROM matrix to a nearby one, that has a simpler and explicit dependence on the wave speed. This simplifies and reduces the computational cost of the ROM-based waveform inversion. We introduce the methodology, called ROMNet, and test it with numerical simulations, using two training data sets: The first set consists of random media with variations of the wave speed modeled by a superposition of Gaussians with random amplitudes and standard deviations. The second is the publicly available GeoFWI dataset introduced for benchmarking FWI using deep learning. We compare the performance of ROMNet with the direct ROM-based inversion and with two representative deep learning approaches to FWI: ``Fourier-DeepONet" and ``InversionNet".

Data-driven Effective Modeling of Stochastic Chemical Reaction Networks math.NA

The Stochastic Simulation Algorithm (SSA), widely considered an exact algorithm for stochastic chemical reaction networks, suffers from high computational cost. In this work, we propose a data-driven effective model that operates on a user-defined coarse time step independent of the underlying microscopic reaction-event scale. This is accomplished by directly approximating the finite-time transition kernel of the continuous-time Markov chain induced by SSA, using a generative machine learning model trained on short bursts of SSA simulation data. The trained model constructs a stochastic propagator that recursively generates statistically consistent trajectories at the constant coarse time step, with significantly reduced computational cost. In this paper, we employ conditional normalizing flow as the stochastic propagator. A comprehensive set of numerical examples is presented to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method.

Adaptive Hybrid Subspace Levenberg Marquardt Algorithm with Adequacy Monitor for Large Scale Least Squares Problems math.NA

The Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm is the most widely used method for solving nonlinear least-squares problems, as it combines the robustness of steepest descent with the fast local convergence of the Gauss-Newton method. However, its computational cost can become prohibitive for large-scale problems because each iteration requires solving a large damped linear system, and conventional step acceptance strategies may require repeated solves as the damping parameter is adjusted. Despite this computational challenge, many large-scale least-squares problems exhibit effective low-dimensional structure, with only a small number of parameter-space directions strongly informed by the data. We propose an adaptive hybrid subspace Levenberg-Marquardt (HSLM) algorithm that constructs a low-dimensional subspace from complementary sources of gradient, memory, Krylov-subspace, and randomized curvature information and computes a spectrally damped LM step within this subspace. A distinguishing feature of the method is a deterministic adequacy monitor that quantifies how much descent information is captured by the reduced space and adaptively enriches the subspace when necessary. Step acceptance is decoupled from damping adjustment: Armijo backtracking determines the accepted step length, while the ratio of actual to predicted reduction is used solely to update the damping parameter, thereby avoiding repeated damped-system solves during step acceptance. For the HSLM algorithm, we establish global convergence to stationarity and prove local linear and superlinear convergence. Numerical experiments on neural-network training problems show that HSLM achieves convergence behavior comparable to classical and Krylov subspace LM (KSLM) while substantially reducing per-iteration computational cost, with increasing advantages observed as the parameter dimension grows.

BenchmarksFull tables
Artificial AnalysisIntelligence Index

Composite score across coding, math, and reasoning

#ModelScoretok/s$/1M
1GPT-5.560.272$11.25
2Claude Opus 4.757.354$10.94
3Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview57.2130$4.50
4GPT-5.456.890$5.63
5Qwen3.7 Max56.6206$3.75
SWE-rebench

Agentic coding on real-world software engineering tasks

#ModelScore
1Claude Opus 4.665.3%
2gpt-5.2-2025-12-11-medium64.4%
3GLM-562.8%
4Junie62.8%
5gpt-5.4-2026-03-05-medium62.8%
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