The Inference Report

April 26, 2026

The infrastructure race for AI is accelerating on two fronts at once. Anthropic demonstrated agents conducting real marketplace transactions without waiting for regulatory permission, while Maine's governor rejected a data center moratorium that would have constrained physical capacity through 2027. Cohere's acquisition of Aleph Alpha, backed by European retail capital, signals that governments now treat AI capability as strategic infrastructure worth defending from foreign control, the way they once guarded telecommunications and energy networks. The market structure is crystallizing around a simple hierarchy: whoever controls the chips, data centers, and agent platforms controls the economic layer built on top of them.

This concentration is forcing a bifurcation in how developers respond. The open-source ecosystem is splitting between those building portability layers that treat LLM APIs as interchangeable infrastructure, and those capturing value by integrating models into larger products like analytics platforms and multi-agent systems. Projects wrapping Claude, DeepSeek, and OpenAI behind compatibility middleware are solving vendor lock-in, but they're also symptoms of a market that hasn't standardized. Meanwhile, code generation tools are delegating routine work to agents while developers retain control over critical decisions, suggesting the market is settling on a hybrid model rather than full automation.

The disconnect is stark: builders have working autonomous agents conducting commerce and developers have tools to delegate tedious work, yet the question of who owns the physical infrastructure powering them remains contested between corporate players, state governments, and foreign competitors. Computational power is no longer separable from the question of which company's AI runs on it. Infrastructure, in other words, is now inseparable from market dominance.

Grant Calloway

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Research Papers — FocusedAll papers
CARNet: Channel-Adaptive Receiver Network for Robust NextG Communications cs.IT

Neural receivers have been recognized as a promising paradigm for the next-generation (NextG) communications. However, due to the reliance on a static network optimized for specific channel conditions, their generalization capability across diverse scenarios remains a significant challenge. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel channel-adaptive neural receiver network (CARNet) based on the mixture-of-experts (MoE) framework. The proposed architecture employs multiple expert networks together with an efficient routing mechanism to enable signal detection in various scenarios. The experts are constructed via stacked ResNet blocks and specialize in robust signal detection within specific channel conditions, while the routing mechanism incorporates a lightweight representation learning module, which projects the coarse channel estimate into a low-dimensional latent embedding. The learned embedding characterizes task-relevant channel conditions and provides efficient guidance for accurate expert selection. Link-level simulation experiments demonstrate that the proposed CARNet achieves superior performance across diverse channel conditions.

LLM-based Source Code Compression via Thresholded Symbol Ranking cs.IT

We study the problem of lossless compression of source code, motivated by the storage demands of large-scale software archives, such as Software Heritage (https://www.softwareheritage.org/). General-purpose compressors (e.g., zstd, bzip2) offer a good trade-off between compression ratio and speed, but fail to exploit all special regularities inherent in source code. Recent approaches leverage Large Language Models (LLMs) within Shannon's symbol-ranking framework, relying on a scheme in which the predicted rank can grow arbitrarily. While effective at reducing space, this setting incurs significant throughput degradation, and leaves open the question whether it is necessary to explicitly encode all ranks. In this work, we introduce LLM-based compressors deploying two novel symbol-ranking variants that bound predictions to the top-$T$ ranks ($T=1$ or $63$), with out-of-threshold symbols stored as exceptions and compressed jointly with the rank stream via general-purpose compressors. We conduct the first large-scale evaluation of LLM-based source code compression across 30 LLMs, including general-domain, code-specialized, and quantized models. Our $T$-bounded approach outperforms prior LLM-based compressors both in compression ratio (up to 37% relative improvement) and compression throughput (40% faster). Compared to general-purpose compressors (e.g., zstd, bzip2), we obtain up to 82% relative compression gain but at a lower speed, thus offering a new trade-off point in the compression-speed spectrum. We also show that these gains are stronger on source code than on natural language, suggesting an interesting indication, namely that source code exposes regularities captured by LLMs but missed by general-purpose exact-match-based compressors. We conclude by commenting on open problems that offer theoretical and practical avenues of research.

Pipelined Gradient Coding cs.IT

In large-scale machine learning, distributed training commonly involves multiple workers evaluating the gradients of the model on different dataset partitions. A common challenge is the presence of straggling workers, which may significantly slow down training. Traditional gradient coding (GC) addresses this by duplicating dataset partitions across workers, allowing for the replacement of missing gradients from stragglers. However, GC requires workers to evaluate gradients on multiple dataset partitions in each step, potentially increasing overall training time. In this paper, we propose to pipeline GC, such that gradient evaluation is segmented across multiple steps and each worker evaluates gradients on just a single dataset partition per step. We develop the pipelined version for fractional repetition (FR) and cyclic repetition (CR), two representative dataset placement schemes in GC, and prove convergence guarantees for both. Through extensive simulations and experiments on cloud infrastructure, our schemes not only significantly reduce training time but also accelerate convergence compared to GC and other baselines.

Improved lower bounds for the Shannon capacity of odd cycles cs.IT

The Shannon capacity $Θ(G)$ of a graph $G$ quantifies the maximum rate at which information can be transmitted with zero error over a noisy channel. It is lower bounded by $α(G^d)^{1/d}$ for any $d$, where $α(G^d)$ is the independence number of the $d$-th strong power of $G$. We construct independent sets of size $134753$ in $C_7^{10}$, $21909$ in $C_{11}^{6}$, and $62530$ in $C_{13}^{6}$, improving the best known lower bounds for the Shannon capacity of these graphs to $Θ(C_7)\geq 134753^{1/10}>3.258020$, $Θ(C_{11})\geq 21909^{1/6}>5.289773$, and $Θ(C_{13})\geq 62530^{1/6}>6.300109$. We also improve the best known lower bounds on the independence numbers of several individual strong powers of odd cycles that do not improve the Shannon capacity lower bound. The constructions were discovered through iterative interactions with a Large Language Model (LLM), illustrating the potential of LLMs for finding explicit combinatorial constructions.

CRB-Driven Beamforming and Trajectory Optimization for UAV-assisted ISAC System cs.IT

In this paper, we study an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-assisted integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) system, where a UAV enhances the sensing capability of a base station (BS) towards a target while ensuring reliable communication towards a downlink user. This architecture is practically attractive for future wireless networks due to the UAV's controllable mobility and adaptive sensing coverage in wireless environments. The sensing performance is characterized by the average Cramér-Rao bound (CRB), which quantifies the minimum variance of the unbiased angle-of-arrival estimation. To enhance the sensing performance, the UAV trajectory and beamforming parameters are jointly optimized under power and mobility constraints, while satisfying communication requirements to the downlink user. To address the resulting non-convex problem, we employ null-space projection for beamforming design and adopt deep reinforcement learning for the trajectory optimization over a discrete-time scale. In each time slot, beamforming is optimized based on the channel state information to improve CRB performance while mitigating interference between the BS and the communication user. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method significantly reduces the time-averaged CRB by over 10%, compared with the ISAC system without UAV assistance, and also achieves a higher sensing accuracy than both the fixed-UAV-trajectory and the maximum-ratio-transmission-based beamforming benchmarks.

Tight Sample Bounds for Renyi and Min-Entropy Estimation cs.IT

Estimating entropy from samples is fundamental in information theory and property testing. Shannon entropy measures average uncertainty and can be estimated to constant additive accuracy over a $k$-symbol alphabet using $Θ(k/\log k)$ samples. Min-entropy depends only on the most likely symbol. Both are special cases of order-$α$ R'{e}nyi entropy, $H_α$. We characterize the sample complexity of estimating min-entropy and R'{e}nyi entropy for $k$ and integer $α>1$; our lower bounds also hold for noninteger $α\ge1.001$. We prove that min-entropy estimation to constant additive accuracy has sample complexity $Θ(k\log k)$. The upper bound uses the largest empirical frequency and concentration via dyadic grouping. The matching lower bound hides a slightly heavier symbol at a uniformly random location. Thus, min-entropy requires $Θ(\log^2 k)$ more samples than Shannon entropy and corrects a previously stated $Θ(k/\log k)$ characterization. For every integer $2\leα\le c_0\log k$, we prove the matching fixed-accuracy bound $Θ_{c_0}(αk^{1-1/α})$. Previous results gave $Ω_α(k^{1-1/α})$ for fixed integer $α>1$ and $O_{c_0}(α^2k^{1-1/α})$ for all integer $α>1$. Our upper bound analyzes an unbiased falling-factorial estimator based on $α$-way collisions, while a hidden-heavy-coordinate construction gives the matching lower bound and shows that the factor $α$ is unavoidable. For every real $1.001\leα\le c_0\log k$, we prove the uniform lower bound $Ω_{c_0}(αk^{1-1/α})$. Finally, since $0\le H_α(p)-H_\infty(p)\le\log k/(α-1)$, min-entropy uniformly approximates $H_α$ when $α$ is a sufficiently large multiple of $\log k$. Combining this reduction with our min-entropy bounds gives $Θ_\varepsilon(k\log k)$ sample complexity in the high-order regime.

BenchmarksFull tables
Artificial AnalysisIntelligence Index

Composite score across coding, math, and reasoning

#ModelScoretok/s$/1M
1GPT-5.560.2101$11.25
2Claude Opus 4.757.364$10.00
3Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview57.2135$4.50
4GPT-5.456.883$5.63
5Kimi K2.653.9108$1.71
SWE-rebench

Agentic coding on real-world software engineering tasks

#ModelScore
1Claude Opus 4.665.3%
2gpt-5.2-2025-12-11-medium64.4%
3GLM-562.8%
4gpt-5.4-2026-03-05-medium62.8%
5GLM-5.162.7%