The market is sorting itself by who owns the customer relationship and can credibly deliver results, not by who controls the most advanced technology. OpenAI is doubling headcount to 8,000 by end of 2026 while Nvidia's latest conference failed to move Wall Street, a divergence that reflects investor clarity about which companies extract value versus which merely supply it. Open-weight models like Nvidia's Nemotron-Cascade 2 are hitting Gold Medal performance at 30B parameters with only 3B active, directly undercutting the efficiency moat of frontier models, yet this technical progress hasn't translated into market share because distribution and trust still dominate. Meanwhile, the compliance layer is cracking: Delve stands accused of selling fake compliance to hundreds of customers, a publisher rejected an AI-generated novel outright, and Anthropic's survey of 80,000 Claude users shows hallucinations trouble people far more than job displacement fears. Trust, not capability, is the actual constraint.
Research across multi-agent systems, interpretability, and domain-specific applications reveals a consistent finding: observability alone does not guarantee control. Mechanistic methods achieve near-perfect representation of task-relevant information yet fail to translate that knowledge into corrected outputs, while steering approaches show brittleness under deployment stress. Performance gains come from encoding domain structure into training and evaluation rather than scaling generic models. Pedagogically grounded fine-tuning, clinical benchmarks aligned to real-world needs, and neuro-symbolic architectures with declarative constraint specification all demonstrate that what matters for deployment is generalization to unseen tasks and robustness under perturbation, not aggregate metrics on standard leaderboards.
The infrastructure layer is reasserting itself. Trivy dominates vulnerability scanning with consolidated threat detection, while systemd and protobuf remain the unglamorous backbone everything depends on. On GitHub, the secondary pattern is tooling for AI operations and observability: Phoenix and Claude HUD address the friction point that models and agents are now complex enough to require visibility into internal behavior, while opendataloader and Clawith solve the unglamorous problem of getting messy PDFs and enterprise data into usable formats. The gap between what's trendy and what's useful is narrowing. Compensation is shifting too, with tokens becoming a fourth pillar of engineer pay and companies like DoorDash paying gig workers to train AI, suggesting the real pressure is showing up as cost arbitrage rather than capability breakthroughs. Whoever controls the customer relationship wins; everyone else is either a cost center or selling narrative.
Grant Calloway
No lab headlines.
Random perturbations around a shared checkpoint can produce experts for distinct tasks, but shared origin does not ensure that their gains survive composition. We formulate expert-pair selection for joint base-relative retention, measured by strict joint success and worst-task gain with unconditional abstention accounting. An exact finite-difference decomposition and an arbitrarily small orthogonal counterexample show why proximity and orthogonality alone are insufficient. We instantiate this formulation with quality-constrained spectral selection, a fixed-budget framework combining cross-task screening, layerwise pair geometry, separate validation, and Base fallback. Across six checkpoints, 21 task pairs, and five independent perturbation pools, the procedure improves strict joint success over Top-1 averaging throughout and leads the four-method model-scale comparison on four of six checkpoints. For the five models with at least 1.5B parameters, matched quality-only, global-cosine, and spectral ranking attain 49.1%, 50.5%, and 53.1% joint success. Under this matched protocol, the spectral selector also yields the highest worst-task gain and Weak Pareto rate and the lowest regression rate. Mean worst-task gain reaches +0.61 percentage points, while 17.1% regression and 13.0% abstention show that composability remains conditional. Project page: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/Thickets-Merge/.
We study prompted chain-of-thought (CoT) with self-consistency (SC), i.e. sampling N traces and plurality-voting, on small language models, a regime where per-query compute budgets are tight yet SC is commonly applied with a fixed sample budget inherited from large-model practice, regardless of instance difficulty. Across two model families (Qwen-2.5-0.5B, Gemma-3-1B) at FP16 and MLX-Q4 (4-bit quantisation in Apple's MLX framework), on GSM8K and MATH-500, we run 8 per-task and 4 task-pooled experiments at n=200-400 with 1,000x paired-bootstrap confidence intervals (CIs). Our first result is an upper bound: an oracle gate deciding per prompt whether to invoke SC reaches 109-174% of always-SC's accuracy at 23-30% of its compute in all 12/12 cases, so at N=5 always-SC is dominated everywhere on our grid. That margin is exactly the rate at which SC flips correct greedy answers to wrong, here 3-10.5% of prompts, which on Qwen-Q4 x MATH-500 exceeds the wrong-to-right rate and leaves always-SC 3 pt worse than always-greedy. Our second result is a deployable approximation: a gate over greedy-pass signals skips 45-99% of SC calls, with bootstrap CI half-widths under 5 pt, removing 36-79% of always-SC compute. Accuracy retention at those operating points has point estimates of 98.1-98.8%, which we report as point estimates because their CIs are wide (lower bounds 76-86%) over an SC accuracy of only 15-36%. The evidence covers N=5 on two <=1B families and two math benchmarks, which is the scope we claim. Code is available at https://github.com/heywanrong/SiftSC.
Frontline sales staff spend much of their day re-coordinating quotes after customers change quantities, ask for discounts or new payment terms, or costs move. We present LoMASA (Local Multi-Agent Sales Assistant), a training-free multi-agent system that runs entirely on one desktop computer. A 35B mixture-of-experts model (System-1) makes each decision in a single forward pass and reads its confidence from the probabilities of the answer options. A 27B dense model (System-2) writes customer replies and escalation briefs and is consulted when System-1 is unsure. Code computes every price, margin and option, and hard pricing rules cannot be overridden. On a test split of 500 simulated episodes with 1512 decisions built from public supply-chain data, the salesperson has to decide only 19.5% of decisions: 38.0% are settled automatically, with a median latency of 2.67 seconds, and 42.5% are escalated to a manager by the hard rules. On the automatically settled decisions LoMASA is as accurate as a rule baseline (0.894 vs.\ 0.894) and makes fewer commitments whose margin later falls below the floor (2.61% vs 4.53%); the price is additional escalations to the manager. Option probabilities are well calibrated without any training, unlike confidence stated in words by the same model. We also report where the design does not help: the 27B model rarely changes a decision.
Long-context applications, long-lived agents, and multi-agent systems require large language models (LLMs) to process and retain extensive information. In these settings, the KV cache can exceed GPU high-bandwidth memory (HBM) capacity, necessitating offloading to host memory, where CPU-to-GPU transfers can dominate inference latency. While KV cache compression can reduce data movement, query-agnostic compression that guarantees accurate attention for arbitrary queries is extremely challenging, if not impossible. We introduce VerKV, a hybrid approach that provides $(ε, δ)$ guarantees for approximating attention on any given query. VerKV maintains a compact set of query-agnostic pivotal tokens on the GPU, together with a token-level sketch of the full KV cache, while retaining the complete cache in CPU memory. We introduce a novel stochastic sampling procedure, PoissonComp, to select the pivotal tokens. At inference time, our proposed KVFetch algorithm uses the pivotal tokens and the sketch to estimate the relative error of the resulting attention computation. If the estimate satisfies a user-specified $(ε, δ)$ tolerance, inference proceeds without accessing host memory. Otherwise, VerKV performs query-aware retrieval to fetch additional tokens from the CPU, refining the attention computation to meet the required tolerance. Thus, VerKV enables attention with bounded approximation error while minimizing CPU-to-GPU transfers. We show that PoissonComp outperforms state-of-the-art approaches to KV cache compression. Combined with KVFetch, it achieves near-dense performance (90-100% of dense quality at 32K context length, averaged over RULER and LOFT), using Qwen3-4B, Qwen3.5-9B and Ministral-3-8B, while reducing the GPU memory footprint by 8-32x and keeping CPU-to-GPU memory fetches within 2-23% of the cache per generated token, depending on the model.
Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) are kept concise for human readability, so LLM agents that generate executable skills from them lack the tacit knowledge and implementation details needed for automation. Human intervention fills these gaps, but must be repeated as SOPs evolve---a problem we call \textit{SOP-skill drift}. We propose managing SOPs and Contextual Knowledge (CK) separately, together with a \textit{contract-aware} evaluation that distinguishes genuine violations from CK-resolved differences. On eight Indeed-derived workflows (single LLM), it raises the functional-equivalence rate from 12\% to 58\%. Under three SOP-revision perturbations, previously extracted CK already covers 79.5\% of newly introduced automation gaps.
Large language models (LLMs) have made substantial progress in mathematical reasoning but still produce incorrect solutions to complex problems, indicating the need for more reliable self-correction mechanisms. Mathematical self-correction typically identifies errors through verification, which can proceed backward or forward. The two directions provide complementary verification capabilities. Backward verification checks a candidate answer against the original constraints, bypassing complex intermediate reasoning, but cannot ensure correct reasoning or objective completeness. Forward verification follows the problem conditions and current solution, enabling it to locate reasoning errors and assess objective completeness, but may overlook key constraints in complex solution chains. We propose BiVerify, a dynamically scheduled framework for bidirectional mathematical verification. BiVerify begins with backward verification to screen the answer against the original constraints, followed by forward verification of the reasoning process; subsequent direction switching, state resetting, and re-verification are governed by verification outcomes. Upon failure, the system revises the candidate or verification flow until the same candidate passes both directions. We also introduce shared mathematical tools that separate logical reasoning from precise computation. We systematically evaluate BiVerify on five challenging mathematical reasoning benchmarks using multiple mainstream DeepSeek, GPT, and Gemini models. BiVerify exceeds the strongest representative public baseline evaluated in this work by 13.5 percentage points in average accuracy, with the margin reaching 31.2 percentage points on GPT. Further analysis shows that BiVerify's overall performance exceeds that of either verification direction alone.
Composite score across coding, math, and reasoning
| # | Model | Score | tok/s | $/1M |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPT-5.4 | 57.2 | 85 | $5.63 |
| 2 | Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview | 57.2 | 118 | $4.50 |
| 3 | GPT-5.3 Codex | 54 | 71 | $4.81 |
| 4 | Claude Opus 4.6 | 53 | 51 | $10.00 |
| 5 | Claude Sonnet 4.6 | 51.7 | 66 | $6.00 |
Agentic coding on real-world software engineering tasks
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Code | 52.9% |
| 2 | Junie | 52.1% |
| 3 | Claude Opus 4.6 | 51.7% |
| 4 | gpt-5.2-2025-12-11-xhigh | 51.7% |
| 5 | gpt-5.2-2025-12-11-medium | 51.0% |
Automate the process of making money online.
The systemd System and Service Manager
Find vulnerabilities, misconfigurations, secrets, SBOM in containers, Kubernetes, code repositories, clouds and more
Project N.O.M.A.D, is a self-contained, offline survival computer packed with critical tools, knowledge, and AI to keep you informed and empowered—anytime, anywhere.
PDF Parser for AI-ready data. Automate PDF accessibility. Open-source.
A project to deploy an online app that predicts the win probability for each NBA game every day. Demonstrates end-to-end Machine Learning deployment.
Implement a ChatGPT-like LLM in PyTorch from scratch, step by step
AI Observability & Evaluation
Your agent in your terminal, equipped with local tools: writes code, uses the terminal, browses the web. Make your own persistent autonomous agent on top!
A lightweight Python package for Automatic Speech Recognition using ONNX models