The Inference Report

March 16, 2026

Google and Accel rejected 70 percent of Indian AI startup pitches as wrappers, yet the same week brought a flood of legitimate infrastructure releases that suggest the market is finally sorting builders from noise, even as the noise keeps getting louder. LangChain shipped Deep Agents for stateful multi-step reasoning, OpenViking released filesystem-based context storage for agents, IBM delivered Granite 4.0 1B Speech for edge deployment, and Zhipu AI and Moonshot AI each published architectural primitives for document parsing and transformer scaling. These aren't products wrapped around someone else's API. They're the plumbing agents need to function at scale: memory layers, context management, skill persistence, specialized browsers designed for automation rather than human interaction. The signal is that agents have moved from experimental to operational, and teams are now investing in the infrastructure to make them work.

The liability surface is expanding faster than any framework can contain it. Lawyers warn of AI chatbots appearing in mass casualty cases alongside years of documented suicides. ByteDance delayed Seedance 2.0 to dodge legal exposure. Business schools scramble to detect cheating while the detection lag widens. Yet simultaneously, researchers at Swansea found that AI sparks deeper creative engagement in design tasks with over 800 participants, suggesting the narrative of replacement obscures something messier: displacement of certain work patterns while amplifying others. Google's $32 billion acquisition of Wiz signals that consolidation still moves faster than the open-source tooling that could theoretically compete with it. The winners remain those with capital to absorb liability and the ability to move through regulatory uncertainty.

Across code benchmarks, the divergence between SWE-rebench and Artificial Analysis rankings reveals that no single evaluation is measuring identical capabilities. Claude Code, Junie, and Claude Opus 4.6 hold their positions at the top tier, but mid-tier models show significant churn, with Kimi K2 Thinking climbing 15 positions on one leaderboard while GLM-5 fell 7 positions. The absence of clear correlation across the full dataset suggests the benchmarks test distinct problem spaces or that SWE-rebench's constraints around repository-level code generation and integration don't map cleanly to general coding performance. On GitHub, the dominant pattern is infrastructure for agentic systems. What's absent is tooling for model training or fine-tuning. The message is plain: the model layer is settling. What's moving is everything built on top of it.

Grant Calloway

AI LabsAll labs

No lab headlines.

From the WireAll feeds
Research PapersAll papers
PhysMoDPO: Physically-Plausible Humanoid Motion with Preference Optimization cs.LG

Recent progress in text-conditioned human motion generation has been largely driven by diffusion models trained on large-scale human motion data. Building on this progress, recent methods attempt to transfer such models for character animation and real robot control by applying a Whole-Body Controller (WBC) that converts diffusion-generated motions into executable trajectories. While WBC trajectories become compliant with physics, they may expose substantial deviations from original motion. To address this issue, we here propose PhysMoDPO, a Direct Preference Optimization framework. Unlike prior work that relies on hand-crafted physics-aware heuristics such as foot-sliding penalties, we integrate WBC into our training pipeline and optimize diffusion model such that the output of WBC becomes compliant both with physics and original text instructions. To train PhysMoDPO we deploy physics-based and task-specific rewards and use them to assign preference to synthesized trajectories. Our extensive experiments on text-to-motion and spatial control tasks demonstrate consistent improvements of PhysMoDPO in both physical realism and task-related metrics on simulated robots. Moreover, we demonstrate that PhysMoDPO results in significant improvements when applied to zero-shot motion transfer in simulation and for real-world deployment on a G1 humanoid robot.

Representation Learning for Spatiotemporal Physical Systems cs.LG

Machine learning approaches to spatiotemporal physical systems have primarily focused on next-frame prediction, with the goal of learning an accurate emulator for the system's evolution in time. However, these emulators are computationally expensive to train and are subject to performance pitfalls, such as compounding errors during autoregressive rollout. In this work, we take a different perspective and look at scientific tasks further downstream of predicting the next frame, such as estimation of a system's governing physical parameters. Accuracy on these tasks offers a uniquely quantifiable glimpse into the physical relevance of the representations of these models. We evaluate the effectiveness of general-purpose self-supervised methods in learning physics-grounded representations that are useful for downstream scientific tasks. Surprisingly, we find that not all methods designed for physical modeling outperform generic self-supervised learning methods on these tasks, and methods that learn in the latent space (e.g., joint embedding predictive architectures, or JEPAs) outperform those optimizing pixel-level prediction objectives. Code is available at https://github.com/helenqu/physical-representation-learning.

Visual-ERM: Reward Modeling for Visual Equivalence cs.CV

Vision-to-code tasks require models to reconstruct structured visual inputs, such as charts, tables, and SVGs, into executable or structured representations with high visual fidelity. While recent Large Vision Language Models (LVLMs) achieve strong results via supervised fine-tuning, reinforcement learning remains challenging due to misaligned reward signals. Existing rewards either rely on textual rules or coarse visual embedding similarity, both of which fail to capture fine-grained visual discrepancies and are vulnerable to reward hacking. We propose Visual Equivalence Reward Model (Visual-ERM), a multimodal generative reward model that provides fine-grained, interpretable, and task-agnostic feedback to evaluate vision-to-code quality directly in the rendered visual space. Integrated into RL, Visual-ERM improves Qwen3-VL-8B-Instruct by +8.4 on chart-to-code and yields consistent gains on table and SVG parsing (+2.7, +4.1 on average), and further strengthens test-time scaling via reflection and revision. We also introduce VisualCritic-RewardBench (VC-RewardBench), a benchmark for judging fine-grained image-to-image discrepancies on structured visual data, where Visual-ERM at 8B decisively outperforms Qwen3-VL-235B-Instruct and approaches leading closed-source models. Our results suggest that fine-grained visual reward supervision is both necessary and sufficient for vision-to-code RL, regardless of task specificity.

MoEKD: Mixture-of-Experts Knowledge Distillation for Robust and High-Performing Compressed Code Models cs.SE

Large language models for code have achieved strong performance across diverse software analytics tasks, yet their real-world adoption remains limited by high computational demands, slow inference speeds, significant energy consumption, and environmental impact. Knowledge distillation (KD) offers a practical solution by transferring knowledge from a large model to a smaller and more efficient model. Despite its effectiveness, recent studies show that models distilled from a single source often exhibit degraded adversarial robustness, even when robustness-aware distillation techniques are employed. These observations suggest a fundamental limitation of single-source distillation in simultaneously transferring high-quality and robust knowledge. To overcome this limitation, we propose Mixture of Experts Knowledge Distillation (MoEKD), a KD framework that leverages a Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture to enable more effective and robust knowledge transfer from multiple specialized experts into a compact model. MoEKD decomposes the distillation process into expert and router training, aggregation of expert knowledge through a learned routing mechanism, and distillation from the aggregated knowledge. We evaluate MoEKD on the vulnerability detection task using CodeBERT and GraphCodeBERT models. Experimental results show that MoEKD not only improves adversarial robustness by up to 35.8%, but also enhances predictive performance by up to 13%, compared to state-of-the-art KD baselines, including Compressor and AVATAR. Furthermore, an ablation study demonstrates that aggregating expert knowledge enables ultra-compact models to maintain competitive performance even when their size is reduced by approximately half. Overall, these results highlight the effectiveness of multi-expert knowledge aggregation in addressing key limitations of existing single-source KD approaches.

Neuron-Aware Data Selection In Instruction Tuning For Large Language Models cs.CL

Instruction Tuning (IT) has been proven to be an effective approach to unlock the powerful capabilities of large language models (LLMs). Recent studies indicate that excessive IT data can degrade LLMs performance, while carefully selecting a small subset of high-quality IT data can significantly enhance their capabilities. Therefore, identifying the most efficient subset data from the IT dataset to effectively develop either specific or general abilities in LLMs has become a critical challenge. To address this, we propose a novel and efficient framework called NAIT. NAIT evaluates the impact of IT data on LLMs performance by analyzing the similarity of neuron activation patterns between the IT dataset and the target domain capability. Specifically, NAIT captures neuron activation patterns from in-domain datasets of target domain capabilities to construct reusable and transferable neuron activation features. It then evaluates and selects optimal samples based on the similarity between candidate samples and the expected activation features of the target capabilities. Experimental results show that training on the 10\% Alpaca-GPT4 IT data subset selected by NAIT consistently outperforms methods that rely on external advanced models or uncertainty-based features across various tasks. Our findings also reveal the transferability of neuron activation features across different capabilities of LLMs. In particular, IT data with more logical reasoning and programmatic features possesses strong general transferability, enabling models to develop stronger capabilities across multiple tasks, while a stable core subset of data is sufficient to consistently activate fundamental model capabilities and universally improve performance across diverse tasks.

From Experiments to Expertise: Scientific Knowledge Consolidation for AI-Driven Computational Research physics.comp-ph

While large language models (LLMs) have transformed AI agents into proficient executors of computational materials science, performing a hundred simulations does not make a researcher. What distinguishes research from routine execution is the progressive accumulation of knowledge -- learning which approaches fail, recognizing patterns across systems, and applying understanding to new problems. However, the prevailing paradigm in AI-driven computational science treats each execution in isolation, largely discarding hard-won insights between runs. Here we present QMatSuite, an open-source platform closing this gap. Agents record findings with full provenance, retrieve knowledge before new calculations, and in dedicated reflection sessions correct erroneous findings and synthesize observations into cross-compound patterns. In benchmarks on a six-step quantum-mechanical simulation workflow, accumulated knowledge reduces reasoning overhead by 67% and improves accuracy from 47% to 3% deviation from literature -- and when transferred to an unfamiliar material, achieves 1% deviation with zero pipeline failures.

BenchmarksFull tables
Artificial AnalysisIntelligence Index

Composite score across coding, math, and reasoning

#ModelScoretok/s$/1M
1Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview57.2121$4.50
2GPT-5.45780$5.63
3GPT-5.3 Codex5470$4.81
4Claude Opus 4.65362$10.00
5Claude Sonnet 4.651.769$6.00
SWE-rebench

Agentic coding on real-world software engineering tasks

#ModelScore
1Claude Code52.9%
2Junie52.1%
3Claude Opus 4.651.7%
4gpt-5.2-2025-12-11-xhigh51.7%
5gpt-5.2-2025-12-11-medium51.0%
Trending